Should I Buy Apa Group Stock in Australia in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Apa Group for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Apa Group.

What is Apa Group?

How much is the Apa Group stock?

The price of Apa Group stock is slightly down this week. As of now, Apa Group trades at $8.39 AUD per share, showing a 0.24% decrease over the past 24 hours and a 1.64% drop for the week. The company holds a market capitalisation of $10.94 billion AUD, with an average trading volume of 3.62 million shares over the past three months. The P/E ratio is currently not applicable due to a recent net loss, while the dividend yield is 6.79% and the stock’s beta stands at 0.23, highlighting its low volatility. This stable profile may appeal to investors seeking reliable income in Australia's energy sector.

Our full analysis on the Apa Group stock

We have rigorously reviewed Apa Group’s most recent financial reports, as well as its share price evolution over the last three years. By synthesising detailed financial metrics, technical signals, peer comparisons, and prevailing market data through our proprietary algorithms, we aim to deliver an objective, opportunity-oriented analysis. So, why might Apa Group stock once again become a strategic entry point into the Australian energy infrastructure sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Apa Group has demonstrated firm resilience in recent quarters, underpinned by disciplined growth and a robust portfolio of critical energy assets. As of early July 2025, the Apa Group share price stands at $8.39 AUD, showing a 6.20% gain over the past year and an impressive 19.35% uplift on a six-month basis, despite a marginal 1.64% decline this week. The company’s market capitalisation now sits at $10.94 billion AUD, supported by a strong average daily trading volume of 3.62 million shares.

Recent positive developments lend credence to the group’s strategic vision: the acquisition and integration of the Atlas to Reedy Creek pipeline in June 2025 for $110 million AUD, and concluding the expansion of the Port Hedland solar and battery project in December 2024. These steps have not only diversified the revenue base but reaffirmed Apa Group’s status as a key driver of Australia’s energy security and low-carbon transition. With the Australian government prioritising infrastructure and cleaner energy, Apa Group stands to benefit from favourable policy and sector tailwinds.

Technical analysis

From a technical perspective, Apa Group exhibits a promising short- to medium-term structure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58.11, in bullish territory but leaving substantial headroom before entering overbought conditions. The MACD (12,26,9) is positive at 0.011, having recently generated a strong buy signal—echoed by 11 out of 12 moving average indicators being bullish.

Key moving averages—20, 50, and 200 days—all cluster just below or at the current share price, providing a robust foundation of support. The technical consensus is “Strong Buy,” with pivotal short-term support at $8.30 and major resistance at $8.77 (the 52-week high). With buying interest strong and technical momentum building, a sustained breakout appears likely, especially if upcoming catalysts are realised.

Fundamental analysis

Apa Group’s fundamental outlook remains robust and compelling. The first half of 2025 saw revenue climb to $1.364 billion AUD, a 7.1% increase year over year, while underlying EBITDA rose by 9.1% to $1.015 billion AUD—surpassing expectations. These results reflect deeply embedded, contracted cash flows from regulated gas transmission and a proven track record in margin expansion.

While the P/E ratio is currently not meaningful due to a temporary net loss, the consistency of EBITDA growth and a notably stable 7%+ dividend yield underpin intrinsic value—an important consideration for Australian income-seeking investors. The group has also announced a five-year east coast network expansion, signalling ambitious medium-term growth. Strategic investments in solar, wind, and grid infrastructure projects reinforce Apa Group’s shift toward future-proof, climate-aligned revenue streams.

• Market dominance in Australian gas pipelines (~15,000 km of transmission).
• Long-term revenue visibility through regulated assets and essential energy infrastructure.
• Proactive diversification into renewables and grid modernisation.

Volume and liquidity

Strong and consistent liquidity is a defining feature of Apa Group. Average three-month daily trading volume at 3.62 million shares ensures robust price discovery and market depth, appealing to both institutional and retail investors. The ownership structure is balanced, with approximately half the shares held by institutions and half by retail investors, supporting steady float turnover.

Such volume underpins dynamic but orderly valuations, minimising the risk of illiquidity premiums or forced price volatility. This environment tends to reward patient investors, allowing positions to be built or exited efficiently around technical or fundamental inflection points.

Catalysts and positive outlook

• Strategic acquisitions: The Atlas to Reedy Creek pipeline and other asset additions immediately boost scale and earnings base.
• Major projects: Ongoing expansion of the east coast gas network and the successful completion of the Port Hedland solar/battery project increase assets, green credentials, and revenue security.
• Sector tailwinds: Growing demand for renewable and transition energy infrastructure, supported by favourable regulatory frameworks and national energy priorities.
• ESG alignment: Investments in renewables ensure future sustainability credentials and access to broader pools of capital.
• Dividend growth: Management has reaffirmed guidance for a rising FY25 distribution (57.0 cents per share), supporting shareholder returns with a yield over 6.7%.

Additionally, market sentiment is firmly constructive, with a “Strong Buy” technical consensus and buy-side analyst outlook—fuelled by sector leadership and expanding addressable markets.

Investment strategies

• Short-term: Active traders may leverage technical supports and bullish momentum, with well-defined risk levels and the potential for breakouts toward the upper resistance.
• Medium-term: Positioning ahead of confirmed project completions or interim results could capture catalyst-driven uplifts.
• Long-term: Apa Group’s status as a defensive infrastructure leader, combined with progressive renewables integration and above-average income yield, makes it well suited to patient, income-focused portfolios.

Optimal entries arise on slight pullbacks to the $8.30 support range or prior to new project announcements, maximising risk-reward dynamics while benefiting from anticipated growth triggers.

Is it the right time to buy Apa Group?

To summarise, Apa Group blends stable cash flow generation, a premium dividend yield, sector leadership, and forward-looking energy innovation. Recent earnings momentum, major strategic acquisitions, and ongoing capacity expansion justify renewed confidence in the group’s trajectory. With its share price consolidating on robust volume just below historic highs and the market structure suggesting further upside, Apa Group seems to represent an excellent opportunity for both income and growth investors.

The fundamentals justify renewed interest, with foreseeable catalysts, sound technical signals, and a favourable regulatory backdrop supporting the outlook. For those seeking a resilient, future-proofed asset within the critical infrastructure sector, Apa Group should be seriously considered as a core holding.

As the Australian economy advances towards sustainable energy solutions and infrastructure renewal, Apa Group is uniquely positioned to deliver attractive returns—with timing, valuation, and momentum all aligning for a possible new bullish phase.

How to buy Apa Group stock in Australia?

Buying Apa Group shares online through a regulated broker is simple, cost-effective, and highly secure for all Australian investors. With just a few clicks, you can purchase Apa Group stock directly (spot buying) or choose Contracts for Difference (CFDs) to benefit from leverage on short-term moves. Spot buying lets you own shares outright, while CFDs offer flexible strategies for active traders. To help you find the right broker for your needs, a detailed broker comparison is available further down the page.

Spot buying

A cash purchase of Apa Group stock means you buy the shares directly and become a shareholder. Most ASX brokers charge a fixed fee per trade, often around $5 to $10 AUD. This fee is deducted automatically from your transaction.

Gain scenario

If the Apa Group share price is $8.39 AUD, you can buy around 119 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100. Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Spot buying is perfect for investors seeking long-term exposure and reliable dividend income.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading on Apa Group shares allows you to speculate on price movements without owning the shares. You trade a contract that tracks the share’s price. Fees include a spread—slightly wider than for spot buying—and an overnight financing charge if you hold the position beyond a trading day.

CFD Position with 5x Leverage Example

You open a CFD position on Apa Group shares, with 5x leverage.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

✔️ Gain scenario:

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

CFDs are recommended for experienced investors seeking short-term opportunities with higher potential returns, understanding the larger risks involved.

Final advice

Before you begin, compare the fees and features of different brokers—our broker comparison tool further down the page makes this easy. Remember, your preferred method will depend on your own goals and investment timeframe. Both cash buying and CFD trading provide efficient ways to access Apa Group stock in the Australian market.

Our 7 tips for buying Apa Group stock

The latest news about Apa Group

Apa Group has successfully completed the acquisition of the Atlas to Reedy Creek pipeline in June 2025. This strategic move, valued at AUD 110 million, strengthens APA’s gas transmission leadership and secures greater supply reliability for key Queensland customers, enhancing regional infrastructure and long-term growth prospects for the company.

Technical indicators show strong buy signals across major moving averages and momentum oscillators in the past week. The current RSI (58.11) and MACD (positive), along with consensus “Strong Buy” from 11 out of 12 technical signals, highlight robust market support and continued investor interest in Apa Group on the ASX.

Apa Group posted impressive financial results for 1H25, notably with underlying EBITDA up 9.1% year-on-year. The reported AUD 1.015 billion in EBITDA, along with 7.1% revenue growth, exceeded analyst expectations and underpins the group’s stable cash flows and ability to fund ongoing distribution growth and capital projects.

The interim distribution for 1H25 was raised to 27.0 cents per security, with full year guidance confirmed at 57.0 cents. This reflects management’s confidence in the company’s cash generation, appealing to income-focused Australian investors, with distributions partially franked to enhance after-tax returns.

Market sentiment and consensus remain highly optimistic following recent project completions and expansion plans on the east coast. Analysts point to APA’s active participation in energy transition initiatives, including solar and battery projects, reinforcing its position as a key infrastructure partner in Australia’s move toward more sustainable energy.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.