Should I buy Aristocrat Leisure stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Aristocrat Leisure for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to decipher market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, paid by Aristocrat Leisure.

What Is Aristocrat Leisure?

The Aristocrat Leisure Stock Price

The price of Aristocrat Leisure stock is rising this week. As of now, the stock trades at $66.86 AUD, with a slight decrease of $0.07 (-0.10%) over the last 24 hours but notable growth of 5.31% over the past week. Its market capitalisation stands at $41.75 billion AUD, supported by an average daily volume of 1.75 million shares over the past three months. Aristocrat Leisure has a price/earnings ratio of 36.95, a current dividend yield of 1.29%, and a stock beta of 0.52 indicating reduced volatility compared to the broader market. This relative stability, combined with consistent performance, can be appealing to investors seeking both growth and resilience.

Our full analysis of the Aristocrat Leisure stock

We have thoroughly reviewed Aristocrat Leisure’s latest financial results and closely examined the stock’s performance trajectory over the past three years. Our team has blended robust financial indicators, technical signals, recent market data, and competitive intelligence using advanced proprietary algorithms. So, why might Aristocrat Leisure stock once again become a strategic entry point into the booming global gaming and digital entertainment sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Aristocrat Leisure has demonstrated outstanding momentum in recent months, with its share price reaching $66.86 AUD, representing a 5.31% gain over the past week and an impressive 33.2% increase over the past year. This steady appreciation comes despite a marginal intraday dip (-0.10%), confirming its resilience in volatile market conditions. Recent corporate developments—such as the successful $820 million sale of Plarium Global and the approval of a new $750 million share buyback program—underscore management's commitment to value creation and capital discipline. The Australian macroeconomic environment remains favourable, supported by robust consumer spending in entertainment and a stable regulatory backdrop, while the gaming technology sector itself is enjoying structural growth, particularly through digital transformation and the adoption of innovative content.

Technical analysis

Current technical indicators for Aristocrat Leisure reinforce its bullish structure. The stock trades above all its major moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200 days), which all confirm buy signals. The RSI (14 days) stands at 58.58, suggesting strong—but not overstretched—momentum, while a positive MACD (0.282) adds confirmation of ongoing upward movement. Key support is identified at $66.26 AUD, providing a technical floor for the stock, with resistance at $68.00 AUD. Notably, the price action is accompanied by a “golden cross” scenario, where shorter-term averages are trending above longer-term ones—a classic signal that a sustained bullish phase may be in progress. These technical factors point toward both short- and medium-term stability and potential appreciation.

Fundamental analysis

From a fundamental standpoint, Aristocrat Leisure displays a compelling investment profile. Revenue for the most recent half year climbed to $3.03 billion AUD (up 9% year-on-year), reflecting excellent organic growth, while EBITDA reached $1.25 billion AUD, an impressive 12.8% improvement with a margin of 41.1%. Earnings per share have exceeded analysts’ expectations, further demonstrating operational efficiency. The P/E ratio of 36.95, while higher than the sector average, is well supported by the company’s consistent growth, strategic global footprint, and premium market positioning. Aristocrat’s business model is structurally resilient, driven by innovation in both land-based gaming hardware and digital/mobile platforms. Its segment diversification—spanning electronic machines, online gaming, and casino-themed mobile apps—confers added robustness, brand strength, and significant recurring revenue streams. The company has also shown agility through targeted acquisitions and disposals, most recently prioritising regulated markets and digital expansion. Combined with a modest dividend yield of 1.29% and low beta of 0.52, the stock is well positioned for both defensive and growth-oriented portfolios.

Volume and liquidity

Aristocrat Leisure benefits from sustained trading volume, with a three-month average of 1.75 million shares, reflecting strong institutional and retail interest and high levels of liquidity. This deep market ensures efficient price discovery and reduces execution risk, reinforcing investor confidence. The company’s market capitalisation of $41.75 billion AUD places it among the most influential constituents of the ASX, ensuring broad analyst coverage and dynamic valuation. Its shareholder base is well-diversified, supporting continued stability and resilience across market cycles.

Catalysts and positive outlook

Several upcoming catalysts could drive renewed upside in Aristocrat Leisure. Key product launches, notably the highly anticipated NFL-themed casino social app, are expected to accelerate user acquisition and digital engagement in H2 2025. The ongoing integration of NeoGames further expands Aristocrat’s scale in the interactive and iLottery spaces, offering meaningful cross-sell and innovation opportunities. Strategic focus on growth in North American VLT and COAM markets, as well as a new generation of gaming cabinets like Phoenix Link and Baron, set the stage for new revenue sources. On the ESG front, the company continues to strengthen sustainability initiatives and responsible gaming practices, supporting its reputation and regulatory approval. Importantly, these catalysts are bolstered by macro-level trends: global gaming expenditure is expected to rise, while technological innovation remains a key sector driver. Analyst sentiment is notably optimistic, with consensus price targets exceeding current levels and upgraded earnings projections.

Investment strategies

Given Aristocrat Leisure’s powerful technical setup, robust business fundamentals, and clear immediate catalysts, the stock appears attractive for various investment strategies:

• Short-term: Attractive for tactical traders given current bullish momentum, with possible entry near support and exit into resistance or ahead of key product announcements.
• Medium-term: Ideal for investors seeking to position ahead of sector catalysts—such as major game launches and further digital market penetration—with potential for multiple expansion and earnings upgrades.
• Long-term: A core holding for portfolios seeking exposure to high-quality, innovative gaming and technology companies with proven management, strong global brands, and diversified revenue streams.

For all strategies, current valuations seem justified in light of rapid earnings growth and a strong sector backdrop, with an upside bias reinforced by both quantitative and qualitative factors.

Is it the right time to buy Aristocrat Leisure?

Aristocrat Leisure’s long-term performance, market dominance, and operational excellence combine to create a highly compelling investment case. The stock’s attractive technical momentum, robust financial health, and clear pipeline of growth catalysts suggest it is entering a promising new bullish phase. Risk appears relatively contained given its low beta and resilient cash flow profile, while recent strategic actions further align with shareholder value creation. In summary, Aristocrat Leisure seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking a blend of growth, innovation, and defensive qualities—poised to outperform in both current and future market conditions.

With all these factors considered, Aristocrat Leisure looks set to sustain its leadership and offer appealing upside for those ready to take a decisive position in the evolving global gaming and digital entertainment sector.

How to buy Aristocrat Leisure stock in Australia

Buying Aristocrat Leisure stock online is straightforward and secure when using a regulated Australian broker. You can choose between purchasing shares outright (“spot buying”) or trading via Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow you to speculate on price movements with leverage. Each approach offers advantages in terms of ownership, strategy, and fees. To help you select the best broker for your needs, be sure to check out our detailed comparison further down the page.

Spot buying

Buying Aristocrat Leisure stock for cash means you become a direct shareholder, benefiting from dividends and any long-term price increases. In Australia, the typical fee is a fixed commission of about $5 to $10 per order, charged in AUD by most local brokers.

Gain scenario

If the Aristocrat Leisure share price is $66.86 AUD, you can buy around 14 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.

Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading allows you to speculate on the price of Aristocrat Leisure without actually owning the shares. With CFDs, fees are generally based on the spread (the difference between the buy and sell price) and overnight financing if you keep your position open for more than a day.

CFD Gain Scenario: Aristocrat Leisure Shares

You open a CFD position on Aristocrat Leisure shares, with 5x leverage and a $1,000 investment.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

✔️ Gain scenario:

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before investing, it’s essential to compare broker fees, account types, and trading conditions to ensure you find the right fit for your investment style. Whether you choose to buy Aristocrat Leisure shares outright for long-term growth or trade them via CFDs for leveraged strategies, your decision should align with your objectives and risk tolerance. For a complete overview of local options, our broker comparison further down the page can help guide your choice.

Our 7 tips for buying Aristocrat Leisure stock

The latest news about Aristocrat Leisure

Aristocrat Leisure stock rose 5.3% in the past week, outperforming the broader ASX index. This positive momentum is supported by the company’s strong local market position and upbeat market sentiment, with technical indicators such as MACD and moving averages all signalling continued buying interest.

The company’s latest half-year results show a 9% increase in revenue and EBITDA margin improvement to 41.1%. Despite revenue slightly missing some forecasts, earnings per share exceeded expectations, reflecting robust profitability and effective cost management across its local and international operations.

Aristocrat Leisure received board approval for a new $750 million share buyback program. This initiative demonstrates management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate cash, offering additional value to shareholders and often seen favourably on the ASX.

The recent integration of NeoGames continues to strengthen Aristocrat Leisure’s Interactive segment. This progress is increasing the company’s exposure to the growing digital and online gaming sector, an area where local and global demand is projected to remain high, supporting future revenue and profit streams.

Aristocrat Leisure maintains a dividend yield of 1.29% with the added benefit of franking credits for Australian investors. This tax advantage, combined with a consistently rising share price over the past year, enhances the stock’s attractiveness for both income- and growth-focused investors in Australia.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.