Should I buy Mineral Resources stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Mineral Resources for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Mineral Resources.

What is Mineral Resources?

Mineral Resources Stock Price

The price of Mineral Resources stock is rising this week. As of now, the share trades at $24.44 AUD, gaining 7.76% over the past 24 hours and 21.11% for the week. Mineral Resources has a current market capitalisation of $4.80 billion AUD, with an average three-month trading volume of 3.28 million shares. The P/E ratio is not applicable due to recent losses, and no dividend is currently paid. The stock shows a beta of 1.23, reflecting above-average volatility and offering opportunities for active investors seeking dynamic exposure.

Our full analysis on the Mineral Resources stock

Having analysed Mineral Resources’s most recent financial results and assessed its stock performance over the last three years, we integrated a wide spectrum of signals—ranging from advanced financial ratios and technical indicators to macro trends and competitor benchmarks—through our proprietary analytical models. This multidimensional approach ensures we are not just following market sentiment but identifying genuine inflection points based on rigorous data. So, why might Mineral Resources stock once again become a strategic entry point into the essential resources and mining sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Mineral Resources stock has displayed a remarkable rebound, recently surging 21.1% in the past week and closing at $24.44 AUD, a 7.76% gain in the last 24 hours. While it is still down -28.6% over six months and -55.83% over the year, this reversal is noteworthy against a backdrop of improving sentiment in global commodities. The receipt of a significant $780 million AUD from the Hancock Prospecting transaction and leadership updates—such as appointing Malcolm Bundey as chairman—highlight an agile approach to governance and capital management. Despite revenue pressures linked to subdued iron ore and lithium prices, the company’s robust position in the mining industry gives it solid defensive ground as commodity cycles shift favourably, especially amid Australia’s renewed infrastructure investment and growing demand for raw materials.

Technical analysis

All major technical signals currently point to a strong turnaround. The RSI, at 59.67, remains in neutral territory but is trending upward, indicating room for further gains before “overbought” conditions emerge. The MACD has triggered a sustained bullish crossover, reinforcing the recent upward momentum. Short- and medium-term moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200 days) have all flipped to buy signals, confirming a fundamental trend reversal from recent lows. Technically, the $23.71–$22.47 range now provides strong support, with resistance observed at $24.95, $25.45, and $26.19. With a return above the 200-day moving average, historical precedents suggest the stock can capitalise on any sustained volume and positive macro triggers. These converging technical elements suggest the current level could represent an optimal entry point for investors seeking exposure to the next upward cycle in resources.

Fundamental analysis

While the past two years brought substantial headwinds—declining revenue to $2.29 billion AUD (first half FY25, down 9%) and an EBITDA reduction to $302 million AUD—the underlying story is more optimistic than it may appear at first glance. Mineral Resources remains a highly integrated mining and mining services leader in Western Australia, with diversified operations in iron ore, lithium, and infrastructure. The company has demonstrated financial agility, as seen in its rebound to positive operational cash flow and progressive debt reduction strategies, positioning itself well for the cyclical upswing in resource prices. The absence of a current P/E ratio (due to temporary losses) should not be misconstrued as weakness but rather seen in the context of a sector facing coordinated pricing pressures and preparing for margin expansion as iron ore and lithium prices recover. Further, the structural investment in the Onslow Iron project and strategic expansion into energy offer scale and long-term competitive advantages that are not yet fully priced into the stock.

Volume and liquidity

Trading volume has averaged 3.28 million shares over the last three months, reflecting robust market engagement and liquidity even during periods of volatility. This sustained volume is a clear indicator that Mineral Resources receives dynamic market attention—and, crucially, support from both institutional and retail investors. The stock’s 167 million-share float is large enough to accommodate significant inflows while remaining tight, mitigating excessive dilution and enabling sharper price movements when fresh capital or sentiment turns positive. This environment is especially favourable for tactical entries, as healthy turnover supports fair price discovery and minimises slippage risk for sizeable positions.

Catalysts and positive outlook

• The Onslow Iron project, poised to achieve its full production run rate of 35 Mtpa by Q1 FY26, is a game-changing development that is expected to drive top-line growth and margin expansion.
• Upward trends in iron ore and lithium prices—both critical to the emerging clean energy and technology value chains—will directly benefit company revenues and profitability.
• Debt reduction will accelerate as Onslow Iron’s cash flow generation strengthens.
• New partnerships and strategic moves into energy open additional growth vectors, setting Mineral Resources apart from less-agile peers in the resources sector.
• The company is also focused on ESG initiatives, sustainable mining operations, and leveraging energy infrastructure—enhancing its appeal to global institutional investors increasingly adopting ESG mandates.

The convergence of these elements signals a powerful new growth cycle that supportive sectoral and regulatory themes may sustain for several years.

Investment strategies

• Short-term: The strong technical rebound and volume breakout make this stock attractive for momentum-oriented buying at current or minor pullbacks, particularly above $23.71 support.
• Medium-term: Entry ahead of key Onslow Iron milestones, projected cash flow inflections, and continued technical momentum offers the potential for significant re-rating as the company delivers operational results.
• Long-term: Investors with a multi-year view may see current levels as a strategic accumulation zone, given Mineral Resources’s leadership in critical minerals, ongoing diversification, and the unparalleled scale of its mining and infrastructure assets.

Is it the right time to buy Mineral Resources?

To sum up, Mineral Resources combines a compelling mix of technical momentum, transformative structural catalysts, and sector leadership that justifies renewed attention—even after recent share price volatility. The company’s resilience, commitment to growth, and expanded exposure across multiple high-demand commodities reinforce the thesis that it is entering a potentially bullish phase. With improving pricing, robust liquidity, and a packed pipeline of operational and strategic milestones ahead, the fundamentals justify serious consideration for portfolio inclusion at this juncture. Backed by supportive market dynamics and clear operational strengths, Mineral Resources seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors prepared to capture the next major uptrend in Australia’s vital resources sector.

How to buy Mineral Resources stock in Australia?

Buying Mineral Resources stock online is simple and secure when you use a regulated Australian broker. You can purchase shares directly (spot buying) for long-term ownership or opt for Contracts for Difference (CFDs) to take advantage of short-term price movements with leverage. Each approach has its advantages: spot trading gives you true ownership, while CFDs offer more flexibility but higher risk. Below, you will find a broker comparison to help you make the best choice.

Cash buying

A cash purchase means buying Mineral Resources stock outright through your broker. You become a shareholder, enjoying voting rights and possible dividends. Typical fees include a flat commission per trade—often around $5 per order with leading Australian brokers.

Example of a Share Purchase and Gain Scenario

If the Mineral Resources share price is $24.44 AUD, you can buy around 40 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

✔️ Gain scenario:

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.

Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on the price of Mineral Resources shares without actually owning them. Using CFDs, you trade with leverage, so you only put up a fraction of the position’s value. Fees typically include the spread (the difference between buy/sell prices) and overnight financing costs when positions remain open more than a day.

CFD Gain Scenario on Mineral Resources Shares

You open a CFD position on Mineral Resources shares, with 5x leverage. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

Gain scenario: If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before buying Mineral Resources shares, take the time to compare brokers’ fees, spreads, and trading conditions, using the comparison tool further down this page. Your choice will depend on whether you’re seeking long-term ownership or prefer short-term trading strategies—and on your personal investment objectives.

Our 7 tips for buying Mineral Resources stock

The latest news about Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources shares surged 21% over the week, outperforming the ASX materials sector. The stock closed at 24.44 AUD on 3 July 2025, supported by high trading volumes and renewed investor interest in Australian mining equities, particularly those with integrated operations.

Technical signals confirm a bullish short-term momentum for Mineral Resources shares. Recent technical indicators, such as a positive MACD crossover and the price moving above its 20- and 50-day moving averages, suggest stronger buying pressure and increased market optimism amongst Australian investors.

The appointment of Malcolm Bundey as chairman was finalised, strengthening board governance and strategic direction. His experience in managing large-scale resource businesses is viewed positively, with market participants anticipating stronger oversight and continuity amid Mineral Resources' ongoing transition.

The ramp-up of the Onslow Iron project continues to progress in line with management’s guidance. This key Western Australian asset is expected to reach its target capacity in FY26, providing substantial volume uplift and underpinning future revenue for the company in its home market.

Consensus analyst price target was reaffirmed at 31.77 AUD, indicating ongoing confidence in Mineral Resources. Analysts cite recovering iron ore and lithium markets and successful project delivery as drivers for this potential upside, highlighting both sector and company-specific tailwinds for Australian investors.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.