Is buying Mirvac Group shares in Australia a good idea in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Mirvac Group for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Mirvac Group.

What is Mirvac Group?

How much is Mirvac Group stock?

The price of Mirvac Group stock is declining this week. The current share price is $2.25 AUD, down 0.88% over the past 24 hours and dropping 2.17% during the last week. Mirvac Group now holds a market capitalization of $8.88 billion, with an average trading volume of 13.16 million shares over the past three months. The P/E ratio is not applicable due to a negative result, while the dividend yield stands at 4.00% and the stock beta is 1.19. Investors should keep in mind that the stock’s moderate volatility presents both risks and opportunities.

Our Full Analysis of the Mirvac Group Stock

After reviewing Mirvac Group’s most recent financial results and its robust stock performance over the past three years, our team has used proprietary algorithms to combine insights from financial indicators, technical trends, market data, and competitive positioning. This integrated approach offers an in-depth view rarely available in standard analysis. So, why might Mirvac Group stock once again become a strategic entry point into the Australian property sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Mirvac Group has delivered an impressive turnaround over the last 12 months, with the share price rising 21.62% year-on-year, underpinned by an 18.73% gain in the past 6 months alone. Despite a slight decrease this week (current share price: $2.25 AUD, intraday change of -0.88%, and weekly of -2.17%), this upward trajectory reflects the market’s recognition of Mirvac’s resilience amid sector uncertainty. The company reported revenue growth in 1H25, alongside a semi-annual distribution of 4.5 cents per share. Positive momentum remains evident across all divisions, even as the broader real estate sector navigates elevated interest rates and structural headwinds. Additionally, Fitch’s reaffirmation of Mirvac’s ‘A-’ credit rating with a stable outlook in March 2025 underscores the group’s financial credibility. In a macro context, anticipated rate cuts by the RBA and steady commercial market expansion (forecasted sector CAGR of 5.32% through 2030) further enhance Mirvac’s outlook. Segmented across office, retail, industrial, and residential projects, Mirvac’s diversified portfolio provides an effective hedge in a rapidly evolving property landscape.

Technical analysis

From a technical perspective, Mirvac Group presents a compelling case for bullish investors. The 14-day RSI has stabilized at 53.99, reflecting neutral conditions without overbought risk, while the MACD (0.01) just confirmed a fresh buy signal. Short- and medium-term moving averages (20- and 50-day) are in a minor sell phase, but the 100- and 200-day moving averages—now at $2.19 and $2.14 respectively—signal robust longer-term buy momentum. Strong technical support is established at $2.18, with resistance at $2.30, giving Mirvac a well-defined trading range. Importantly, the stock’s trajectory remains well above its long-term averages; this structure indicates that recent market softening may offer an ideal entry window rather than a trend reversal. These technical signals, when paired with volume stability, suggest Mirvac may soon pivot back into a pronounced bullish phase.

Fundamental analysis

On the fundamentals, Mirvac Group’s operational strengths are remarkable. The company reported 1H25 revenue of $1.284 billion AUD, maintaining its growth trajectory even against sector pressures. Operational profit after tax was $236 million AUD, and the distribution policy remains generous, yielding an attractive 4.00%. While negative earnings resulted in an inapplicable P/E ratio this period, Mirvac’s underlying profitability, diversified business model, and robust pipeline—estimated at $29 billion AUD—underscore its resilience and forward-looking strategy. Strategic emphasis on sustainable and innovative real estate solutions cements its position as a leading player, not just in Australia but also as a reference within APAC. The brand’s strength, established since 1972, and its proven ability to adapt during economic cycles, amplify shareholder confidence. Initiatives in sustainability, smart building solutions, and green developments future-proof earnings and mitigate near- and medium-term risks.

Volume and liquidity

Market participants have demonstrated renewed confidence in Mirvac Group, evidenced by an average three-month trading volume of 13.16 million shares—a significant level for the Australian property sector. With a float of 3.95 billion shares and institutional ownership above 52%, liquidity remains robust and supports dynamic valuation adjustments. Such steady activity lowers liquidity risk, enables tighter bid-ask spreads, and helps facilitate price discovery, ultimately making entry and exit more efficient for investors. The size and engagement of Mirvac’s shareholder base further foster price stability through periods of volatility, an attractive attribute for any entry strategy.

Catalysts and positive outlook

Looking ahead, Mirvac stands apart through key growth catalysts. The group manages $22 billion AUD in assets and is driving a development pipeline worth approximately $29 billion AUD—one of the largest in the region. Upcoming catalysts include:

• The expected easing of Australian interest rates in 2025, potentially lowering funding costs and stimulating demand across all real estate categories.
• Strategic expansion in green office towers, premium retail, and modern logistics hubs, in line with rising demand for ESG-compliant assets.
• The company’s leadership in property technology, design innovation, and sustainable construction—areas where institutional and global demand are only expected to accelerate.
• Sound financial discipline and a stable ‘A-’ Fitch rating, opening avenues for refinancing and new project launches.
• A positive sector context, with consensus outlooks anticipating continued commercial property growth at a healthy CAGR until 2030.

These drivers are further reinforced by Mirvac’s established relationships within the investment community and active partnerships with government and major corporations, positioning the group for outsized gains, especially in a recovering macro environment.

Investment strategies

Mirvac Group provides opportunity for investors with varying time horizons:

• Short-term: The recent consolidation, with shares near technical support at $2.18 and robust upside to resistance, offers the tactical investor a potential ‘buy on weakness’ setup—especially attractive ahead of the next semi-annual distribution.
• Medium-term: Ongoing projects set to deliver significant cash flows, combined with benefits from expected rate reductions, should support a return to stable growth in the coming quarters. Any upside surprise on revenue or development progress could trigger market re-rating.
• Long-term: The company’s innovation, strong ESG credentials, market share leadership, and substantial pipeline make it a compelling hold for those seeking capital preservation and dividend income over successive property cycles. Strategic positioning in premium assets and sustainability initiatives aligns Mirvac with global investment megatrends, enhancing its attractiveness to institutional buyers and retail investors alike.

The convergence of a supportive technical structure, operational momentum, and favourable sector catalysts creates a highly compelling environment for initiating or adding to positions.

Is it the right time to buy Mirvac Group?

In summary, Mirvac Group’s combination of strong fundamentals, leadership in sustainable real estate, attractive dividend yield, and robust liquidity points to a stock that may be entering a new bullish phase. The company’s proven ability to navigate changing macro conditions, paired with technical indicators suggesting a stabilised base, makes this a strategic time to consider entry—particularly as the sector prepares for rate cuts and new development cycles. For investors seeking a blend of growth potential, reliable income, and exposure to forward-thinking property trends, Mirvac Group seems to represent an excellent opportunity in the evolving Australian market landscape. The current price consolidation above critical supports and a visible pipeline of growth catalysts reinforce the view that Mirvac’s upside potential justifies renewed interest and proactive portfolio inclusion. Mirvac Group therefore stands out as a compelling equity for those looking to position themselves ahead of the next phase in Australia’s property innovation cycle, with risk-reward metrics tilted persuasively in favour of the informed investor.

How to Buy Mirvac Group Stock in Australia

Buying Mirvac Group stock online is easy, secure, and accessible to all investors through regulated Australian brokers. You can choose between two main methods: traditional cash buying (owning the real shares) or trading via Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which track the share price without ownership. Both options are available on most platforms, with each method offering its own flexibility and risk profile. If you’re ready to explore your broker options, check out our comparison further down the page for fees, features, and more.

Cash buying

When you buy Mirvac Group shares for cash, you become a direct shareholder in the company and benefit from any dividends or capital gains. Most brokers charge a fixed commission per order, typically around $5 to $10 AUD per trade for Australian stocks.

Example of share purchase calculation

If the Mirvac Group share price is $2.25 AUD, you can buy around 442 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

✔️ Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100. Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on Mirvac Group’s share price without actually owning the shares. This method involves trading on margin and using leverage—typical fees include the broker’s spread (difference between buy/sell price) and overnight financing costs if you hold positions for more than a day.

Gain scenario

You open a CFD position on Mirvac Group shares, with 5x leverage.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before getting started, it is essential to compare brokers’ commissions, spreads, and trading terms to find the best fit for your needs. Your choice between cash buying and CFDs should depend on your investment objectives—whether you want to own Mirvac Group shares outright for long-term value or seek more flexible, leveraged trading. For more guidance, be sure to consult the broker comparison section further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Mirvac Group stock

The latest news about Mirvac Group

Mirvac Group announces a fully franked interim distribution of 4.5 cents per security for 1H25. The company confirmed this payout to shareholders is in line with previous guidance, bolstering its appeal as a consistent income provider in the Australian market and reflecting steady underlying cash generation across core property assets.

Fitch Ratings reaffirms Mirvac Group’s A- credit rating with a stable outlook in March 2025. This independent rating action continues to signal strong debt management and robust financial flexibility, reassuring institutional investors and underpinning Mirvac Group’s access to capital at favourable rates within the Australian landscape.

Mirvac Group’s pipeline reaches a record AUD 29 billion, supporting long-term growth in high-demand regions. The company updated stakeholders this week on progress across office, industrial, retail, and residential projects, emphasising a particular focus on innovation and sustainability—critical advantages as the Australian property market responds to evolving demographic and regulatory trends.

Recent third-quarter results confirm momentum across all divisions and positive rental demand recovery. Mirvac Group reported sustained operational strength in Q3 2025, with ongoing recovery in commercial and residential leasing metrics, which is directly supporting stable revenue and reinforcing its position as a market leader in diversified property management.

Analyst consensus remains bullish with a target price of AUD 2.38, about 6% potential upside from current levels. Australian market analysts highlight Mirvac Group’s defensive positioning, healthy dividend yield, and innovation-driven strategy as well-aligned with expected lower interest rates, making the stock particularly attractive under local macroeconomic conditions.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.