Should I buy Palantir stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Palantir for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to decipher market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, paid by Palantir.

What is Palantir?

How much is Palantir stock?

The price of Palantir stock is down this week.

Currently, Palantir trades at $134.14, up 1.70% over the past 24 hours but down 6.86% for the week. The company has a market capitalisation of $317.08 billion, with an average daily trading volume of 99.26 million shares (3 months). The price/earnings ratio stands at a high 610.73, there is no current dividend yield, and the stock beta is 2.64.

Reflecting its strong growth in an emerging sector, Palantir’s high volatility offers both risk and opportunity for investors.

Our full analysis of the Palantir stock

We have reviewed Palantir’s latest financial results and analysed the stock’s performance over the last three years, integrating a combination of financial indicators, technical signals, market data, and peer comparisons through advanced proprietary algorithms. This multi-layered approach delivers a powerful, data-driven perspective on where Palantir stands today. So, why might Palantir stock once again become a strategic entry point into the artificial intelligence, data analytics, and technology sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Palantir has delivered an extraordinary market performance over the past year, establishing itself as one of the most dynamic tech growth stories in 2025. The shares trade at US$134.14, having climbed a remarkable 419.77% over twelve months and rising 68.18% in the last six months alone. Despite a slight 6.86% pullback this week—typically characteristic of strong momentum stocks after rapid advances—investor sentiment remains robust. Critically, Palantir’s expansion into the commercial sector, enhancements to its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), and major US government contract wins have strengthened its global leadership in strategic analytics.

Recent corporate highlights include the announcement of an upgraded revenue outlook for 2025 (+36% expected growth), the launch of new AI-driven SaaS solutions, and a high-profile partnership with Accenture Federal Services, boosting credibility in the public and private sectors alike. The macro environment strongly favours Palantir: technology adoption is accelerating worldwide, generative AI and big data remain at the centre of digital transformation, and geopolitical priorities around data security and modernisation are feeding demand for the company’s solutions. The stock is increasingly viewed by Australian investors as a pure-play opportunity on the future of AI and advanced analytics.

Technical analysis

Technical signals are generally supportive of further upside, even amid recent volatility. The 14-day RSI stands at 48.18, reinforcing a neutral set-up—suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and has room for renewed momentum. The MACD at 3.51 issues a technical buy signal, a classic precursor to positive short-term moves. Palantir’s price action remains above its 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages (US$125.41, US$108.99, and US$84.38, respectively), all of which have been structural ‘buy zones’ in the recent growth phase.

Support is confirmed at US$130.38, with near-term resistance set at US$140.74. Investors will note that Palantir’s rapid consolidation following recent peaks positions it optimally for an imminent technical breakout, particularly if the broader tech rally resumes. The robust trending structure, reinforced by the MACD and volume signals, underscores the attractiveness of short- and medium-term entry points within a generally bullish setup.

Fundamental analysis

From a fundamental perspective, Palantir’s growth profile is among the strongest in global tech. Q1 2025 saw revenues reach US$883.9 million (a 39% year-over-year surge), aided by US commercial revenues that soared 71%. Adjusted EBITDA hit US$397.3 million (+69% YoY), with quarterly net profit significantly ahead of most analyst forecasts. Importantly, the Rule of 40 score reached 83%—testament to the company’s rare balance of scale and profitable expansion.

While Palantir’s current price/earnings ratio is high at 610.73, this reflects not only the exponential market expectations for AI but also the company’s unique monetisation capabilities. Given the underlying 36% top-line growth outlook and expanding SaaS economics, the valuation can be viewed as justified within the context of sector momentum and scarcity value among public AI leaders.

Structurally, Palantir distinguishes itself via:

• A diversified suite of platforms (Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, AIP) serving both defence/government and high-growth commercial markets.
• Exceptional R&D engine enabling constant innovation in AI, cybersecurity, and analytics.
• Increasing share of revenue from high-value, sticky clients both in the US and internationally.
• A trusted brand with proven adaptation to rapid shifts in government and enterprise requirements.

Volume and liquidity

Palantir boasts consistently high liquidity, with an average of 99.26 million shares traded daily, ensuring tight spreads and robust price discovery. This underlines strong confidence from both institutional and retail investors. The sizable free float and increasing participation from global funds position Palantir favourably for continued dynamic valuation and flexible position-building. Market depth like this is essential for Australian investors seeking to efficiently access leading international growth stocks.

Catalysts and positive outlook

A compelling set of bullish catalysts promises to drive Palantir’s narrative through 2025 and beyond:

• Rapid commercial rollout of AIP, capturing surging AI demand across industries.
• Strategic global expansion, including new data centre footprints and expansion into the Asia-Pacific.
• A pipeline of government and private sector contracts, accelerated by digital infrastructure investments in North America and Europe.
• ESG progress in cyber-risk mitigation and responsible AI, aligning with emerging regulatory and investor priorities worldwide.
• Partnerships with global consulting giants (such as Accenture), amplifying market reach and accelerating adoption among Fortune 500 customers.

At the sector level, the secular acceleration in artificial intelligence, cloud migration, and data-driven decision-making support favourable upward trends for Palantir and peers. As digital transformation cascades through health, defence, energy, and finance, Palantir’s software is fast becoming business-critical—increasing its relevance for both cyclical rallies and defensive positioning.

Investment strategies

Multiple entry strategies can be justified at current market levels:

• Short-term: Technical consolidation just above key support (US$130.38) coupled with a MACD buy signal suggest an attractive window for tactical entries. Monitoring for breakouts above US$140.74 can capture accelerated moves.
• Medium-term: Upcoming earnings, product launches, and milestone contract wins are likely to drive further price appreciation. Investors may look to add on periods of consolidation or near moving average support.
• Long-term: Palantir stands at the intersection of technology megatrends—AI, analytics, security, and digital transformation—making it an attractive core holding for diversified portfolios. Sustained growth, strong client retention, and an adaptable software platform create the foundation for superior returns as market penetration expands.

For those willing to weather volatility in pursuit of market-beating upside, positioning at technical lows or in advance of key newsflow and fundamental drivers can optimise long-term gains.

Is it the right time to buy Palantir?

Synopsising the evidence, Palantir’s performance and outlook arguably place it among 2025’s premier growth opportunities. The combination of exceptional revenue momentum, market leadership in critical AI software, global diversification, and relentless innovation form a compelling case for renewed investor interest. Volume, liquidity, and technical signals further support accumulation at these levels, while ongoing contract wins and sector tailwinds hint at continued upward potential.

The current market environment rewards the vision to act on disruptive themes. Palantir seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those prepared to embrace calculated growth exposure—its blend of innovation, proven execution, and expanding addressable markets suggest the stock may be entering a new bullish phase.

For tech-oriented investors in Australia, Palantir is emerging as a defining play on the future of artificial intelligence and analytics. With opportunity meeting strong fundamentals and catalysts on the horizon, Palantir deserves confident, proactive consideration.

How to buy Palantir stock in Australia?

Buying Palantir stock online is simple and secure with a regulated Australian broker. You can choose between direct spot buying, for ownership, or use CFDs (Contracts for Difference) to trade on price movements with leverage—each method has advantages depending on your goals. Both processes are managed online, offering accessible tools for new and experienced investors. To make an informed choice, see our broker comparison further down the page.

Spot buying

Cash buying means directly purchasing Palantir shares on the stock market using your own funds. This method gives you shareholder rights and is typically subject to a fixed brokerage commission per order, around $5–$10 AUD.

Gain scenario

If the Palantir share price is $134.14 USD (about $201 AUD), you can buy around 5 shares with a $1,000 AUD stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100 AUD. Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading allows you to speculate on Palantir’s share price without owning the actual shares. Here, costs include the bid-ask spread and overnight financing if you keep positions open. CFDs enable leverage, increasing your potential exposure.

Gain scenario

You open a CFD position on Palantir shares, with 5x leverage.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000 AUD with a $1,000 AUD deposit.

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before investing, always compare brokers’ fees, platform features, and trading conditions to ensure they suit your needs. Whether you choose direct share ownership or CFDs depends on your risk appetite and investment objectives. For a detailed broker comparison, simply scroll further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Palantir stock

The latest news about Palantir

Palantir delivered first-quarter revenue growth of 39% year-on-year, beating analysts’ expectations. This impressive performance was underpinned by strength in the US commercial segment and signals accelerating momentum in core business lines, offering a supportive backdrop for future international expansion, including in markets like Australia.

Palantir’s commercial AI platform, AIP, is gaining traction with global private-sector clients. The growing adoption of advanced AI-driven analytics is of particular relevance to the Australian technology sector, which is increasingly integrating such solutions to drive efficiency and innovation in both public and private domains.

The company recently raised guidance for 2025, projecting 36% overall top-line growth and robust US commercial revenue. These optimistic targets reflect confidence in Palantir’s pipeline, operational efficiency, and the strength of its differentiated product suite, factors that can positively impact valuation and investor sentiment, including interest among Australian institutional investors.

Technical signals remain positive, with the stock above key 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages. While short-term corrections have occurred, the bullish MACD and strong long-term moving average structure suggest underlying support and resilience, providing an attractive technical profile for medium-term portfolios.

Palantir’s strategic partnership with Accenture Federal Services strengthens its government contracts footprint and signals further market penetration potential. Given Australia’s deep ties with US defense and technology partners, this strategic move may foster new downstream opportunities for Palantir’s advanced analytics tools in local procurement, defense, and public sector applications.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.