Should I buy Pilbara Minerals stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Pilbara Minerals for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Pilbara Minerals.

What is Pilbara Minerals?

The Pilbara Minerals stock price

The price of Pilbara Minerals stock is rising this week. As of now, shares are trading at $1.525 AUD, reflecting a strong 24-hour gain of $0.155 (+11.31%) and an impressive weekly increase of 22.49%. The company’s market capitalisation stands at $4.91 billion, with an average daily trading volume of 44.3 million shares over the past three months. Pilbara Minerals has a negative P/E Ratio of -140.91, pays no dividend, and exhibits a high beta of 1.82. This combination of robust trading activity and high volatility offers both opportunities and risks for active investors.

Our Full Analysis on the Pilbara Minerals Stock

We have thoroughly reviewed Pilbara Minerals’s latest financial results and examined the stock’s performance over the past three years in context with global benchmark peers and the broader lithium market. Drawing on a combination of financial indicators, technical analysis, and comparative market data, our proprietary algorithms have synthesised key signals relevant for investors in 2025. So, why might Pilbara Minerals stock once again become a strategic entry point into the fast-evolving battery materials sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Pilbara Minerals has demonstrated remarkable resilience in recent weeks, with its share price surging to $1.525 AUD as of early July 2025. The stock delivered a robust 22.49% gain over the past week, recovering sharply from prior sector-wide corrections connected to global lithium price pressures. Notably, the past 24 hours saw an 11.31% jump—an exceptional move signalling reinvigorated investor appetite. Catalysts driving this upswing include the successful P1000 expansion project, a 23% increase in Pilgangoora lithium resources, and robust operational performance that has attracted positive market sentiment. Sector-wide, tailwinds from the growing adoption of electric vehicles and heightened focus on battery minerals globally continue to place lithium producers in the spotlight. Despite volatility, the strategic importance of lithium for the energy transition reinforces long-term demand, creating an attractive landscape for established operators like Pilbara Minerals.

Technical analysis

From a technical analysis perspective, Pilbara Minerals’s current price action signals a distinct shift into a bullish phase. The 14-day RSI stands at 63, reflecting growing momentum yet not an overbought condition, leaving scope for further upside. The MACD confirms this positive trend, with a clear buy signal identified over a three-month period. Importantly, the stock price has moved above its 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages, underlining the short- and medium-term momentum. Key support zones at $1.38 and $1.35 are well established, offering a foundation for bullish traders. Since the technical pivot seen at the 23 June 2025 reversal, Pilbara Minerals has staged a 26.56% rally, strengthening the case for renewed upward movement. Such strong technical structures often precede further advances, especially in conjunction with fundamental catalysts.

Fundamental analysis

Fundamentally, Pilbara Minerals’s value proposition is increasingly compelling. Despite a cyclical downturn in lithium pricing affecting FY24 revenues (down to $1.25 billion AUD), the business retains a robust net cash position of $1.6 billion AUD—significantly enhancing financial flexibility. Interim FY25 revenue reached $426 million AUD, with EBITDA of $48 million AUD, highlighting solid operational leverage even at lower average realised prices. While net profit turned negative for the half-year (-$69.4 million AUD), this was well anticipated by the market and already reflected in valuations. Pilbara Minerals’s pipeline of expansion, anchored by the P1000 project and recent strategic asset acquisitions, supports both capacity growth and production cost optimisation. As the 100% owner of the world’s largest independent hard-rock lithium operation, the company benefits from both scale and strategic infrastructure—two essential pillars as the lithium supply chain rebases for future growth. Innovation remains at the core of its success, with the installation of the largest ore sorting facility globally—a technical advantage offering sustained margin expansion. The medium-term market multiple (current P/E ratio negative due to cyclical loss) does not reflect underlying cashflow generation, which is expected to improve quickly as lithium pricing stabilises and downstream demand returns.

Volume and liquidity

Averaging 44.3 million shares traded daily over the past three months, Pilbara Minerals demonstrates exceptional liquidity on the ASX. This elevated trading activity not only signals high investor engagement but also ensures that price formation is responsive and efficient. A sizeable share float of 2.94 billion shares further supports dynamic price discovery, providing advantageous conditions for both institutional and retail investors to enter or scale positions without significantly impacting market price. Such liquidity underpins the confidence of professional market participants and lends support to periods of sharp price appreciation.

Catalysts and positive outlook

Several near-term and structural catalysts strongly favour the bullish case for Pilbara Minerals. The recently completed P1000 expansion scales production by 47%, immediately raising output to meet surging demand from global EV manufacturers. The June 2025 resource upgrade of Pilgangoora—now 23% larger—directly extends mine life and underpins future sales contracts. Strategic initiatives, including active pursuit of bolt-on acquisitions and partnerships (notably with major global funds and battery supply chain participants), fortify Pilbara’s leadership in the lithium space. ESG credentials are advancing: emphasis on sustainable mining practices and the installation of advanced ore-processing infrastructure align with the evolving priorities of international stakeholders. The lithium market itself remains structurally undersupplied as global vehicle electrification accelerates, with recent price weakness providing disciplined operators like Pilbara Minerals an opportunity to consolidate and capture market share. Regulatory support in Australia for critical minerals adds another tailwind, with industry-friendly policy and targeted investment supporting long-range demand.

Investment strategies

For short-term traders, Pilbara Minerals offers strong trend-following and breakout potential, particularly as price vacillates near recent support with momentum turning bullish. For medium-term investors, the company stands out at a key technical and strategic inflection point, with recent operational upgrades and improved market conditions likely to power earnings recovery through FY25. Long-term investors will appreciate Pilbara’s outsized exposure to battery minerals, world-class assets, and ongoing innovation, which together support compounding growth over coming years. Individual positioning may involve accumulating on technical pullbacks, scaling into strength as price approaches analyst consensus targets ($1.91 AUD) or awaiting confirmation of further sector rotation as lithium prices recover. The combination of strong structural fundamentals, proven execution, and capital strength means Pilbara Minerals seems well positioned at current levels for portfolio inclusion.

Is it the right time to buy Pilbara Minerals?

Taking full measure of recent operational momentum, technical signals, and future-facing sector dynamics, the timing for considering Pilbara Minerals is demonstrably strong. The company’s continually improving resource base, substantial cost advantages, and proven capacity for strategic growth give it a durable and competitive edge as the lithium cycle turns upwards. Robust trading volumes and a market capitalisation solidly above $4.9 billion AUD signal deep investor interest and market endorsement. Projected catalysts in the coming quarters—including new production ramp-up, sustained EV demand, and a likely rebound in lithium prices—help justify optimism about further price appreciation. As such, Pilbara Minerals stands out as a stock whose fundamentals justify renewed interest and whose technical momentum may be signalling the onset of a new bullish phase. Investors looking for a high-conviction opportunity in the critical minerals and global battery sector should be closely attuned to Pilbara Minerals’s ongoing evolution and consider the potential for substantial value creation ahead.

Pilbara Minerals is charting an assertive path in the lithium sector, harnessing strategic growth levers and operational excellence to capitalise on a shifting global market. With the stars aligning on both the technical and fundamental fronts, this stock seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those seeking exposure to the future of energy and battery materials innovation.

How to buy Pilbara Minerals stock in Australia?

Buying Pilbara Minerals stock online is straightforward and secure when you use a regulated broker in Australia. Investors can choose between two popular methods: buying the shares outright (spot buying) or trading using Contracts for Difference (CFDs). Each has its pros and cons, but both allow you to gain exposure to Pilbara Minerals’s stock performance in a few easy steps. For those comparing different brokers, a detailed comparison can be found further down the page to help you select the best platform for your needs.

Spot buying

A cash purchase means you directly own Pilbara Minerals shares through your brokerage account. This approach typically involves a fixed commission per order, usually around $5–$10 AUD with Australian brokers.

Gain scenario

If the Pilbara Minerals share price is $1.52 AUD, you can buy around 655 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.

Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading allows you to speculate on the rise or fall of Pilbara Minerals shares without owning the underlying asset. CFD platforms apply a “spread” (the difference between buy and sell prices) and charge overnight financing if the position is held beyond the trading day.

Example of a CFD Gain Scenario

You open a CFD position on Pilbara Minerals shares, with 5x leverage using $1,000. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

Gain scenario: If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Always check the fees and trading conditions of each broker before investing. Your choice between cash buying and CFD trading will depend on your investment goals, risk tolerance, and preferred level of involvement. The detailed broker comparison below will help you find the right match for your approach.

Our 7 tips for buying Pilbara Minerals stock

The latest news about Pilbara Minerals

Pilbara Minerals stock surged 22.49% in the past week on significant volume and strong technical signals. This exceptional movement was accompanied by intraday gains of 11.31%, reinforced by high daily trading volume averaging 44.3 million shares. Technical analysis confirms positive momentum, with buy signals indicated by both the 20- and 200-day moving averages, alongside an RSI of 63.

A major mineral resources upgrade at Pilgangoora was announced, increasing lithium resources by 23% in June 2025. This substantial boost to reserves further consolidates Pilbara Minerals’ position as Australia’s leading hard-rock lithium producer and adds strategic value to Australian supply chains in the battery and EV sectors.

Pilbara Minerals successfully completed the P1000 expansion, raising production capacity by 47% as of January 2025. The expansion directly supports growing supply obligations to Australian and international customers, reinforcing the company’s leadership in global lithium markets and contributing to positive domestic growth prospects.

Pilbara Minerals’s recent financial results met market expectations, maintaining credibility and investor confidence. In H1 FY25, the company reported AUD 426 million in revenue and positive EBITDA of AUD 48 million, reflecting operational resilience despite lithium price headwinds. This outcome helped buoy sentiment among Australian institutional investors.

Market optimism is supported by a consensus price target 25% above current levels for Pilbara Minerals shares. Leading Australian analysts maintain a constructive outlook, highlighting the company’s robust cash position, dominant market status, and the Australian regulatory environment’s ongoing support for lithium sector development.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.