Should I buy Qantas Airways stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Qantas Airways for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Qantas Airways.

About Qantas Airways

The Qantas Airways stock price

The price of Qantas Airways stock is rising this week. Qantas Airways is currently trading at AUD 10.61, up 0.86% over the past 24 hours and gaining 1.63% this week. With a market capitalisation of approximately AUD 16.06 billion and an average three-month trading volume of 4.83 million shares, the stock reflects healthy activity on the ASX. The latest Price/Earnings Ratio stands at 12.78, the dividend yield is 2.49%, and the stock beta is 1.1, indicating slightly higher volatility than the general market. These figures highlight both robust investor interest and growth potential in the domestic airline sector.

Our full analysis of the Qantas Airways stock

After a thorough assessment of Qantas Airways’s latest financial results and reviewing the stock’s performance over the past three years, we have leveraged multiple sources—including core financial indicators, technical signals, market data, and competitor positioning—synthesised by our proprietary algorithms. In this context, Qantas Airways reveals a robust investment story influenced by both its operational recovery and its clear strategic direction. So, why might Qantas Airways stock once again become a strategic entry point into the aviation sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Qantas Airways has delivered an impressive run over the past year, with the stock currently trading at AUD 10.61 after climbing 1.63% in the past week, 16.85% over six months, and a striking 78.62% across twelve months. This performance is underpinned by resilient demand for both domestic and international travel and robust financials following the industry’s recovery from pandemic-induced lows. Noteworthy, analyst consensus remains cautiously optimistic on further upside, supported by Qantas’s return to profitability, a disciplined share buyback program, and a focus on cost efficiency.

Further confidence in the stock stems from recent pivotal events: the company’s successful shutdown of loss-making Jetstar Asia, continued implementation of operational improvement programs, and a proactive management approach following a temporary stock impact from a data breach. The broader sector backdrop remains constructive, as increased travel volumes, reopened international routes, and stabilised fuel prices set favourable conditions for Qantas Airways within the dynamic Australian airline market.

Technical analysis

From a technical standpoint, Qantas Airways displays encouraging signals for bullish investors. The stock is trading above all its principal moving averages: 20-day (AUD 9.08), 50-day (AUD 9.24), and 200-day (AUD 7.88), reflecting persistent upward momentum. With the current Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53.76, the stock sits comfortably in neutral territory, leaving ample room for continued gains before entering overbought levels.

Further supporting the bullish bias, the MACD indicator is positive at 0.08, signifying a buy signal, and the price’s ability to maintain above short-term support (AUD 10.55) demonstrates robust downside protection. Key resistance is set at AUD 11.06—should this level be breached, it may trigger fresh inflows and another leg higher. The technically confirmed uptrend provides actionable entry possibilities for investors monitoring the short- and medium-term structure.

Fundamental analysis

Fundamentally, Qantas Airways’s story is defined by sustainable revenue growth, ongoing margin enhancement, and active cost management. First-half 2025 results show revenue at AUD 22.94 billion—up a robust 9% year-on-year—and a net profit of AUD 923 million. This operational strength, matched with an EBITDA margin of over 16%, has enabled resilient profitability despite macroeconomic challenges.

Valuation remains compelling relative to historical averages and sector peers. With a Price/Earnings Ratio of 12.78, a dividend yield of 2.49%, and a modest PEG and Price/Sales, the stock trades at levels that offer growth at a reasonable price. Key structural advantages further underpin the bull case, including Qantas’s advanced digital capability, innovative initiatives such as Project Sunrise, unmatched domestic market share, and a focus on high-value international routes.

The company’s strong brand and loyalty program (Qantas Frequent Flyer), coupled with fleet modernisation and sustainability investments, position the airline among the global industry’s most resilient, innovative players.

Volume and liquidity

Qantas Airways benefits from a robust liquidity profile, with average daily trading volume at 4.83 million shares—suitable for both institutional investors and individuals seeking seamless entry and exit. This depth of market provides added pricing stability and reflects persistent investor confidence.

Furthermore, the company maintains a well-diversified float, with a significant presence of both institutional and retail investors. Such a dynamic float structure supports competitive, dynamic valuation levels, allowing the stock to respond effectively to positive catalysts and sector-wide reratings.

Catalysts and positive outlook

• Project Sunrise: Expected launch of ultra-long-haul direct Sydney-London and Sydney-New York flights with A350-1000 aircraft will revolutionise global connectivity and premium travel, placing Qantas Airways at the forefront of aviation innovation.
• Fleet renewal and expansion: Ongoing modernisation, including the imminent arrival of new-generation aircraft, ensures efficiency, sustainability, and responsiveness to shifting demand.
• Domestic and international market leadership: Qantas’s strategic positioning on key Australian and Asia-Pacific routes, combined with superior service and customer satisfaction scores, will continue to attract loyal and premium customers.
• Strong ESG initiatives: Investment in sustainable fuels and emissions reduction sets Qantas Airways apart, appealing to a growing base of socially conscious investors.
• Favourable macro drivers: Trends in travel demand, Australia’s economic resilience, and regulatory clarity offer an improving backdrop for sector profitability and expansion.
• Cost and capital discipline: Share buybacks, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation create flexibility and support ongoing shareholder returns.

These combined strengths establish a solid foundation for medium- and long-term outperformance as the company harnesses economic tailwinds, modern technology, and sector-leading strategy.

Investment strategies

• Short-term positioning: The stock’s proximity to technical support around AUD 10.55, its steady upward momentum, and bullish MACD signals create attractive short-term entry points. For active traders, moves toward resistance near AUD 11.06 offer scope for targeted gains.
• Medium-term opportunities: Anticipated catalysts—including Project Sunrise’s progress, further updates on the buyback scheme, and international expansion—could unlock incremental value over the coming quarters. Investors may consider scaling in ahead of major announcements or technical breakouts.
• Long-term vision: For long-term investors, the outlook is supported by entrenched competitive strengths, sector-leading innovation, and a well-constructed dividend policy. Qantas Airways’s diversified lines of business and adaptive management create resilience across market cycles.

In all cases, entry ahead of anticipated catalysts, sector momentum, and foreseeable demand surges may represent advantageous positioning.

Is it the right time to buy Qantas Airways?

• Proven operational performance and disciplined growth
• Clear leadership in both domestic and premium international segments
• Efficient capital allocation and robust financial flexibility
• Sector-leading ESG initiatives and technological innovation
• Attractive valuation, healthy volume, and persistent upward momentum

As the industry evolves and Qantas Airways executes on game-changing projects like Project Sunrise, the stock seems poised to benefit from converging drivers that justify serious renewed interest from investors of all profiles. Positioned at a key moment for both technical and fundamental advances, Qantas Airways may indeed represent an excellent opportunity at the crossroads of value and growth. The positive outlook is reinforced by the airline’s consistent delivery on strategy and margins, making a strong case for inclusion in any portfolio focused on the resurging transport and travel sector—even as considered risk management remains essential in this fast-moving space.

Qantas Airways stands out as a dynamic stock with robust upside drivers and market conviction—one that warrants close investor attention in the coming quarters.

How to buy Qantas Airways stock in Australia?

Buying Qantas Airways stock online is simple and secure when you use a regulated broker in Australia. You can choose from two main methods: buy shares directly (spot buying), giving you full ownership, or trade via CFDs (Contracts for Difference) if you prefer more flexible, leveraged exposure. Both approaches are popular and easy to access on most platforms. If you want to compare brokers’ fees and features to find the best solution, a dedicated broker comparison tool is available further down the page.

Spot buying

A cash purchase of Qantas Airways stock means you directly own the shares as a registered investor. This lets you benefit from dividends and long-term growth. Most Australian brokers charge a fixed commission for each order, often around $5 to $10 AUD, making it easy to track costs when investing.

Share Trading Gain Scenario

If the Qantas Airways share price is $10.61 AUD, you can buy around 94 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.

Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading allows you to speculate on Qantas Airways’s share price without owning the shares. You can trade on margin, using leverage to increase your exposure, but you’ll pay a spread (the broker’s markup) and possibly overnight financing costs for open positions.

CFD Gain Scenario: Qantas Airways

You open a CFD position on Qantas Airways shares, with 5x leverage. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

✔️ Gain scenario:
If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before investing, check each broker’s fees, platform features, and trading terms to choose the right one for your needs. Whether you want to buy shares for the long term or trade with leverage via CFDs, the best approach depends on your own risk profile and investment goals. You’ll find a handy comparison table of brokers further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Qantas Airways stock

The latest news about Qantas Airways

Qantas Airways stock reaches a new local high, showing a 1.63% gain over the past week. The QAN share price has climbed to 10.61 AUD, outperforming the sector, with the stock maintaining strong momentum above all major moving averages and standing within range of its 52-week high. This reflects ongoing investor optimism about Qantas Airways’ robust financial footing and strategic position within the Australian aviation sector.

Qantas Airways delivers impressive interim results, beating analyst forecasts and supporting a bullish outlook. The airline reported first-half 2025 revenue of 22.94 billion AUD, a 9% increase year over year, net profit of 923 million AUD, and an underlying pre-tax profit rise of 11%. The result outpaced analyst predictions, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency both in the domestic and premium international markets served from Australia.

Fully franked dividend payments have been reinstated, supporting income strategies for Australian investors. Qantas Airways has restored dividend distributions, most recently paying a fully franked interim dividend of 26.4 cents per share in June 2025. This move was well received by the market, strengthening the stock’s appeal for local investors seeking reliable income with Australian franking credit benefits.

Qantas Airways’ technical indicators continue to signal upward potential for traders and investors in Australia. The MACD remains in buy territory, RSI is neutral at 53.76, and the equity trades well above 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages. Recent support has solidified at 10.55 AUD, and resistance stands at 11.06 AUD, providing a positive technical setup backed by bullish momentum and consistent trading volume.

Major strategic projects like Project Sunrise and continued fleet renewal reinforce Qantas Airways’ growth profile. Project Sunrise is advancing toward the launch of ultra-long-haul flights from Sydney to London and New York starting in early 2027, with new A350-1000 aircraft on schedule for 2026 delivery. These initiatives further Qantas Airways’ innovation leadership and premium positioning in both domestic and international markets.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.