Should I buy Tesla shares in Australia in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking Tesla's performance for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Tesla.

What is Tesla?

What is the price of Tesla stock?

The price of Tesla stock is falling this week. Tesla currently trades at $315.35 USD, down 0.10% over the past 24 hours and 3.20% for the week. The company commands a market capitalization of $1.016 trillion USD, with an average daily volume of 120.52 million shares over the past three months. Tesla’s P/E ratio stands at 181.24, with no dividend yield, and a high beta of 2.46 indicating elevated price volatility. For investors, this presents both rich opportunities and significant swings, making it important to stay updated on the latest developments.

Our full analysis of Tesla stock

After a thorough review of Tesla’s latest financial results and a deep dive into the stock's dynamic performance over the past three years, we have synthesised insights from proprietary algorithms combining hard financial indicators, technical signals, market data, and a cross-comparison with global competitors. The outcome is an objective view based on the most advanced analytical models available to institutional investors. So, why might Tesla stock once again become a strategic entry point into the technology and sustainable mobility sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Tesla has delivered another year of robust performance, closing at $315.35 USD as of July 2025—a remarkable climb of nearly 28% year on year, despite short-term volatility and a recent 3.2% pullback in the last week. Over the past six months, the share price adjusted by -23.2%, presenting a clear technical reset that now offers entering investors a more attractive entry point relative to historical highs. The recent launch of the autonomous Robotaxi service in Austin has reignited investor enthusiasm as it marks Tesla’s tangible expansion into next-generation transportation markets, capturing the narrative of innovation that defines its brand. In a global context—particularly relevant for Australian stakeholders—Tesla continues to benefit from global decarbonisation trends. Demand for electric vehicles (EVs) is accelerating in both developed and high-growth Asian markets, positioning Tesla in the crosshairs of structural international tailwinds amplified by pro-EV policies in Australia and the APAC region.

Macroeconomic and sector conditions also present a favourable background, as investor risk appetite for growth technology has returned amid expectations for stabilising interest rates globally. The Australian market, which is sensitive to sectoral leaders in EVs and green energy, has responded positively to Tesla’s long-term commitments in battery production, storage, and new mobility, further reinforcing its role as a bellwether in the ASX thematic global portfolios tied to sustainability and energy transition.

Technical analysis

Tesla’s technical setup shows a reinforcement of its intermediate-term structure, with key signals suggesting growing upside potential. The 14-day RSI is registering a neutral 47.70, offering neither overbought nor oversold pressures and therefore priming the stock for a directional shift. The MACD signal has turned positive at -0.61, indicating renewed buy momentum even as the short moving averages (20 and 50 days) are signalling temporary consolidation. Critically, Tesla remains above its 100-day and 200-day moving averages at $296.63 and $314.07, respectively. This long-term support, combined with an immediate support zone at $312.76 and short-term resistance just above $318, may serve as a foundation for a bullish reversal pattern.

From a tactical standpoint, the confluence of foundational support and ongoing positive MACD signals is compelling for investors interested in timing their entry at a technical inflection point. A successful break above the $318 resistance area would likely reinforce bullish sentiment and validate a new upward trajectory toward the next medium-term objective of $350 and beyond, particularly if paired with external catalysts such as positive earnings surprises or additional product launches.

Fundamental analysis

Tesla’s fundamentals remain among the strongest in the global technology sector. Annual revenues reached $95.72 billion USD (TTM), reflecting sustained double-digit growth—supported by a projected revenue increase of 17.5% to $117.2 billion in the coming year. While the delivery of 384,000 vehicles in Q2 2025 represented a short-term decline of 13%, the company maintained a production edge, reinforcing that operational efficiency remains robust. Net income stands at $6.11 billion USD with adjusted EPS of $1.74, confirming that Tesla preserves margin resilience even amidst sectoral supply chain headwinds.

Importantly, Tesla’s market valuation remains high, with a P/E ratio of 181.24; but this is largely justified by expectations of hypergrowth and sustained innovation. The lack of dividend is an intentional allocation of capital toward aggressive technology investments rather than returning cash to shareholders—a prudent approach in the context of ongoing industrial transformation. Tesla’s leadership in R&D, its vertical integration from battery production to charging infrastructure, and its global brand equity all translate into a dominant position over direct competitors such as BYD, NIO, and established automakers now racing to catch up in EVs.

Tesla’s pricing power, high gross margins, and unrivalled brand recognition position it as the global benchmark for innovation and growth. As climate policies tighten and EV adoption expands globally, Tesla is well-placed to capture an outsized share of future growth across multiple revenue streams—including mobility-as-a-service, energy storage, and AI-driven vehicle autonomy.

Volume and liquidity

The prior quarter saw Tesla sustain an exceptional average traded volume of 120.52 million shares a day over a three-month trailing period, highlighting strong institutional engagement and high liquidity—traits that inspire confidence for both retail and professional investors. Such persistent volume ensures dynamic price discovery, limits the risk of slippage even in volatile episodes, and confirms that the stock remains deeply integrated in all major index and ETF allocations. With a free float of 2.80 billion shares and over 50% of stock held by institutions, Tesla presents the ideal platform for tactical trading, systematic investment plans, or strategic buy-and-hold positioning within diversified global portfolios.

Catalysts and positive outlook

Several high-impact catalysts underscore the positive outlook for Tesla in the coming 12 to 18 months. The highly anticipated expansion of its autonomous Robotaxi fleet beyond Austin into global urban markets positions Tesla to capture a first-mover advantage in mobility services. Continued commitment to scaling AI-driven autonomy and the development of advanced EV batteries support the narrative of accelerating technological innovation. Further, Tesla has doubled down on energy storage, solidifying its leadership in a segment expected to see exponential growth alongside renewables—an area highly relevant for Australia’s energy transition agenda.

Regulatory tailwinds and supportive infrastructure policies across the APAC region, including ambitious Australian net-zero targets, play directly into Tesla’s expansion plans. Partnerships, ongoing strategic investments in production facilities, and the consistent roll-out of new models and services will likely act as future price catalysts. Investors should also watch for potential inclusion in additional global sustainability indices and upgrades to ESG ratings, as the company’s environmental profile improves.

Investment strategies

• Short-term: Volatility and recent consolidation create opportunities for tactical buys around key support levels ($312–$318) with short- to medium-term price targets at $350 and $410.
• Medium-term: The combination of improving technical momentum and strong earnings guidance offers considerable potential for a multi-quarter upswing, especially for investors aligning with the Q3 and Q4 earnings cycles.
• Long-term: For buy-and-hold investors, Tesla's projected annual revenue and earnings growth, high-margin business structure, and relentless pipeline of innovation make the stock especially attractive as a core position within growth and ESG-focused strategies. Entry near the current technical base may maximise long-run returns as scale and network effects compound. Ideal positioning occurs at emerging technical lows—just as long-term momentum reasserts itself or in anticipation of major catalysts (e.g., international robotaxi announcements or quarterly earnings). Adopting systematic entry plans or scaling in over several tranches could mitigate volatility while capturing the upside.

Is it the right time to buy Tesla?

Bringing together all current data, Tesla’s combination of sustained growth, leading innovation, and strong strategic vision is converging at an opportune technical moment. The stock stands on a firm base of support, with macroeconomic and regulatory conditions favouring technology leaders in EVs and green infrastructure—sectors at the heart of the Australian investment landscape. Its unrivalled market leadership, deep liquidity, consistent product pipeline, and position at the frontier of energy transition justify renewed interest from both tactical traders and long-term investors.

With powerful structural strengths and multiple positive catalysts ahead, Tesla seems to represent an excellent opportunity for Australian investors to gain focused exposure to transformative global technology and clean mobility trends. The next quarters may see the stock enter a compelling bullish phase, making now a highly reasonable entry point to seriously consider Tesla as a strategic addition to portfolios seeking sustainable, long-term upside.

How to buy Tesla stock in Australia?

Buying Tesla stock online is simple, safe, and quick when using a regulated broker in Australia. You can opt for two main approaches: purchasing real Tesla shares ("spot buying") or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) for more flexible strategies. Both options are available on major online platforms, offering fast execution, ease of use, and clear oversight by Australian financial authorities. For a detailed broker comparison tailored to local investors, check the comparison table further down the page.

Cash buying

Cash (or spot) buying means purchasing actual Tesla shares in your name, directly on the US stock exchange via your Australian broker. Typically, brokers charge a fixed order commission, usually around AUD 5–10.

Gain scenario

If the Tesla share price is $315.35 USD (~$475 AUD), you can buy around 2 shares with a $1,000 AUD stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100 AUD.

Result: +$100 gross gain, or +10% on your investment.

This approach suits investors seeking simplicity, transparency, and long-term wealth accumulation.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on Tesla’s price without actually owning the shares. Using leverage (borrowed capital), you can amplify gains—but also increase your risk. Fees include the spread (buy/sell difference) and overnight financing charges for holding leveraged positions. CFD trading is best for informed traders who closely monitor the market.

Example of a Leveraged CFD Position

You open a CFD position on Tesla shares, with 5x leverage and $1,000 AUD as initial margin.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000 AUD.

✔️ Gain scenario:

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 AUD (excluding fees).

CFDs provide flexibility and access to both rising and falling markets but require active risk management.

Final advice

Before investing, compare broker fees and conditions carefully, as costs and features can vary widely. The right method—spot buying or CFD—depends on your goals, investment horizon, and appetite for risk. To make an informed decision, use the broker comparison tool provided further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Tesla stock

The latest news about Tesla

Tesla’s new robotaxi service officially launched in Austin, Texas, gaining global industry and media attention. This autonomous ride-hailing service employs a dedicated Model Y fleet and highlights Tesla’s ongoing leadership in real-world AI, a sector watched closely by Australian regulators and investors due to the country’s interest in advanced mobility solutions.

Tesla’s quarterly results confirmed robust production with more than 410,000 vehicles produced and 9.6 GWh of energy deployed. Despite a shortfall on delivery forecasts, production efficiency and continued investment in battery and energy solutions reinforce Tesla’s reputation as a technological innovator, supporting optimism for future expansion in markets like Australia.

Market sentiment for electric vehicles remains constructive in Australia, with Tesla maintaining a dominant sales position in 2025. Australian EV adoption continues to accelerate in 2025, with Tesla's Model Y and Model 3 being leading choices and significant improvements in nationwide charging infrastructure, thanks to government support and private initiatives between Tesla and local partners.

Australia’s regulatory environment is increasingly supportive of electric vehicles, offering new tax incentives and green mobility grants. Recent federal and state-level policy measures facilitate EV ownership, stimulate demand, and encourage further expansion of Tesla’s market share, making Australia a strategic region for the automaker’s growth ambitions.

Technical indicators show a positive shift, with Tesla’s MACD signalling a buy despite recent stock volatility. The current neutral RSI and a series of upward signals from longer-term moving averages suggest renewed buyer interest, which could be timely for institutional and retail investors in Australia watching sector trends.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.