Should I buy Viva Energy shares in 2025?
Is it the right time to buy Viva Energy?
ScoreViva Energy Group Limited (ASX: VEA) is currently trading around 2.23 AUD, with an average daily trading volume of approximately 5.17 million shares. Despite experiencing a challenging period over the past year, resulting in a price decline and recent net losses, the company has stabilised thanks to its strategic moves. The finalisation of the Liberty Convenience acquisition, which increased its network to over 1,155 stations, and ongoing upgrades to its Geelong refinery have strengthened Viva Energy’s core business. While recent financial results were negative, market sentiment has turned increasingly constructive as operational improvements and cost efficiencies begin to take effect. The Australian energy sector remains essential, and Viva Energy’s market share—second largest in fuel supply—positions it advantageously for the future, especially as it embraces the transition to low-emission fuels. The current dividend yield of 3.58% (fully franked) adds to its appeal for income-focused investors. With signals from technical analysis pointing towards a possible recovery, the current consensus price target stands at 2.90 AUD, based on the outlook from more than 15 national and international banks. Given the improving operational outlook and solid market position, Viva Energy is drawing renewed attention from those seeking recovery potential within the energy sector.
- ✅Dominant presence with over 1,155 retail sites nationally.
- ✅Attractive 3.58% fully franked dividend yield.
- ✅Operational turnaround underway with cost-cutting and refinery upgrades.
- ✅Expanded network after strategic Liberty Convenience acquisition.
- ✅Strong analyst consensus and technical 'Buy' signal.
- ❌Recent financial losses require ongoing operational recovery.
- ❌Vulnerable to refining margin volatility and energy transition pressures.
Score- ✅Dominant presence with over 1,155 retail sites nationally.
- ✅Attractive 3.58% fully franked dividend yield.
- ✅Operational turnaround underway with cost-cutting and refinery upgrades.
- ✅Expanded network after strategic Liberty Convenience acquisition.
- ✅Strong analyst consensus and technical 'Buy' signal.
Is it the right time to buy Viva Energy?
- ✅Dominant presence with over 1,155 retail sites nationally.
- ✅Attractive 3.58% fully franked dividend yield.
- ✅Operational turnaround underway with cost-cutting and refinery upgrades.
- ✅Expanded network after strategic Liberty Convenience acquisition.
- ✅Strong analyst consensus and technical 'Buy' signal.
- ❌Recent financial losses require ongoing operational recovery.
- ❌Vulnerable to refining margin volatility and energy transition pressures.
Score- ✅Dominant presence with over 1,155 retail sites nationally.
- ✅Attractive 3.58% fully franked dividend yield.
- ✅Operational turnaround underway with cost-cutting and refinery upgrades.
- ✅Expanded network after strategic Liberty Convenience acquisition.
- ✅Strong analyst consensus and technical 'Buy' signal.
- What is Viva Energy?
- The Viva Energy stock price
- Our full analysis of the Viva Energy stock
- How to Buy Viva Energy Stock in Australia?
- Our 7 tips for buying Viva Energy stock
- The latest news about Viva Energy
- FAQ
Why trust HelloSafe ?
At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of the Viva Energy share price for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Viva Energy.
What is Viva Energy?
| Indicator | Value | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Nationality | Australia | Viva Energy is a leading energy company based in Australia, serving a national market. |
| 💼 Market | Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) | The company is traded on the ASX, providing strong liquidity for local investors. |
| 🏛️ ISIN code | AU0000016875 | The ISIN uniquely identifies Viva Energy on global and local financial markets. |
| 👤 CEO | Scott Wyatt | Scott Wyatt’s leadership since 2014 supports stability and a clear operational strategy. |
| 🏢 Market cap | 3.60 billion AUD | The significant market cap reflects Viva Energy’s strong presence in Australia. |
| 📈 Revenue | 30.14 billion AUD | High revenue highlights the scale of operations and distribution network nationwide. |
| 💹 EBITDA | 576.6 million AUD | This EBITDA value shows underlying profitability despite recent net losses. |
| 📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) | Not applicable (recent losses) | The recent losses mean the current P/E is not meaningful; profitability improvement is key. |
The Viva Energy stock price
The price of Viva Energy stock is rising this week. At AUD $2.23, the share gained 1.83% in the past 24 hours and shows a 5.69% increase over the last week. Viva Energy’s market capitalisation now stands at $3.60 billion, with an average 3-month daily trading volume of 5.17 million shares. The current forward P/E ratio is 19.05, the dividend yield is 3.58%, and the stock beta is 0.43. This low beta suggests that Viva Energy is less volatile than the broader ASX market, which may appeal to more cautious investors.
Our full analysis of the Viva Energy stock
We have reviewed Viva Energy's latest financial results alongside its stock price performance over the past three years. Drawing on a synthesis of proprietary fundamental, technical, and competitive data sources, our analysis is further strengthened by multiple market intelligence feeds and advanced algorithms. So, why might Viva Energy stock once again become a strategic entry point into the Australian energy sector in 2025?
Recent performance and market context
Viva Energy’s share price has shown a notable recovery in 2025, currently trading at AUD $2.23 with a 5.69% weekly gain and a 1.83% rise over 24 hours. While the stock remains below its 12-month peak amid a transitional period in the energy sector, renewed market interest follows the successful acquisition of Liberty Convenience and ongoing upgrades at the Geelong refinery. The macroeconomic backdrop in Australia—characterised by population growth, robust supply chains, and a long-term push for energy security—continues to support demand for refined fuels and downstream distribution, setting a favourable environment for leading industry players.
Technical analysis
- RSI (14 days): At 68.38, indicating rising momentum but not yet overbought.
- MACD (12,26): Positive and trending higher, reinforcing buy signals.
- Short-term moving averages: The price holds above the 20, 50, and 100-day moving averages, confirming a shift to positive short- and medium-term momentum.
- Support zone: Strong support at AUD $1.67–$1.64 limits downside risk.
- Bullish reversal: Signals point to a new upward trend, with only the 200-day MA above the current price, suggesting additional upside.
- Trend structure: The alignment of moving averages and a recent break above resistance levels set the stage for an extended bullish phase.
Fundamental analysis
- Revenue: Annual revenue reached AUD $30.14 billion, demonstrating scale and resilience despite sector headwinds.
- EBITDA: At AUD $576.6 million, strong operational efficiency is clear, aided by recent cost-reduction initiatives.
- Forward P/E Ratio: A forward-looking P/E of 19.05 remains attractive versus sector averages, underlining manageable valuation given the company’s competitive strengths.
- Dividend yield: An appealing 3.58%, fully franked, stands out in the current low-rate environment, with consistent distributions underscoring confidence in underlying cash flows.
- Structural strengths:
- Second-largest refined fuel supplier in Australia, holding a 24% national market share.
- Major infrastructure positions—including the Geelong refinery and a network of 1,155 stations—support both scale and market leadership.
- Innovation is visible in lower-emissions fuel investments and a leading edge in supply chain reliability.
Volume and liquidity
- Trading volume: The average daily volume of 5.17 million shares supports healthy market liquidity and easy entry or exit for institutional and retail investors.
- Market capitalisation: At AUD $3.60 billion, Viva Energy enjoys high market visibility.
- Share structure: A sizeable float and strong institutional presence enable robust price discovery and dynamic valuation over time.
- Implication: Persistent liquidity signals confidence among stakeholders and enhances the stock’s suitability for both medium-term holders and active traders.
Catalysts and positive outlook
- Liberty acquisition: Strategic integration increases earnings potential, distribution presence, and operational synergies, targeting AUD $270–$330 million in combined EBITDA.
- Geelong upgrades: Modernisation of the refinery for ultra-low-sulphur fuel demonstrates leadership in regulatory compliance and environmental transition, crucial for long-term sustainability.
- Efficiency programs: An active cost-reduction drive creates further room for margin expansion.
- Positive market sentiment: Strong buy signals from technicals, a consensus price target of AUD $2.53 (+30% upside), and analyst coverage highlight market conviction.
- ESG initiatives: Commitments to lower-emissions fuels and operational sustainability enhance future-proofing and align with increasingly stringent investor criteria.
Investment strategies
- Short-term: Active traders may capitalise on the bullish momentum, supported by strong technical indicators and surging volume, with upside firmly in play following the latest break above key resistance.
- Medium-term: Investors seeking consistent income and growth may appreciate the fully franked dividend, recurring operational cash flows, and the stabilisation of profit drivers following post-acquisition integration.
- Long-term: Viva Energy’s leading market share, strategic infrastructure, and early adoption of low-emissions technology position it to outperform as Australia’s energy landscape evolves. Growth potential is further fuelled by demographic trends and regulatory support for advanced fuel infrastructure.
- Positioning: The stock currently trades above technical supports at AUD $1.64–$1.67 and well below consensus analyst price targets, offering a compelling entry point near the start of what may be a new upward leg.
Is it the right time to buy Viva Energy?
- Attractive and reliable dividend yield
- Scalable earnings power
- Strategic infrastructure and market share
- Visible earnings growth from recent M&A and operational enhancements
- Bullish technical signals and improving analyst sentiment
The recent confluence of supportive sector trends, rising operational performance, and strong medium-term technicals suggest Viva Energy stock may be entering a new bullish phase. Investors seeking a combination of robust fundamentals, steady income, and exposure to a sector in the midst of transition may find this a particularly favourable moment to consider adding Viva Energy to their portfolios. Opportunity abounds for those willing to participate in the company’s next growth chapter.
How to Buy Viva Energy Stock in Australia?
Buying Viva Energy stock online is now simple and secure when using a regulated Australian broker. You can either buy shares directly—known as cash or spot buying—or trade via CFDs (Contracts for Difference) which let you speculate on price movements with leverage. Both methods are accessible to retail investors, each with their own advantages and risks. For a detailed broker comparison, see the table further down the page.
Spot buying
A cash purchase means you buy actual Viva Energy shares on the ASX and hold them in your brokerage account. Typically, your broker charges a fixed fee per order—often around $5 to $10 AUD for each trade.
Gain scenario
If the Viva Energy share price is $2.23 AUD, you can buy around 446 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.
If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.
Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.
Trading via CFD
A CFD (Contract for Difference) allows you to trade Viva Energy shares without owning them. You profit from the price change, using leverage (borrowed funds), but pay the spread (broker’s markup) and overnight financing on open positions.
Gain scenario
You open a CFD position on Viva Energy shares, with 5x leverage. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.
If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).
Final advice
Before investing, always compare brokers’ fees, spreads, and conditions for both cash and CFD trading methods. The right method will depend on your objectives, risk profile, and trading style—check our comparison lower on the page to make an informed choice.
Check out the best brokers in Australia!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying Viva Energy stock
| 📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for Viva Energy |
|---|---|
| Analyze the market | Examine sector trends, fuel prices, and demand drivers affecting Viva Energy’s performance. |
| Choose the right trading platform | Select an ASX-licensed broker with competitive fees and easy access to Viva Energy shares. |
| Define your investment budget | Set a clear budget, considering Viva Energy’s recent volatility and the importance of diversification. |
| Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Decide whether to benefit from short-term trends or hold based on Viva Energy’s long-term expansion plans. |
| Monitor news and financial results | Stay updated on results, industry acquisitions, and regulatory changes impacting Viva Energy. |
| Use risk management tools | Apply stop-loss or limit orders to manage potential downside in your Viva Energy investment. |
| Sell at the right time | Review technical and fundamental signals to capture gains or avoid downturns with Viva Energy. |
The latest news about Viva Energy
Viva Energy shares rise 5.7% this week, outperforming the broader Australian market. This upward movement is backed by strong trading volume and positive investor sentiment, indicating renewed confidence in the company’s near-term outlook.
Technical indicators show a strong buy signal, with the stock above key short-term moving averages. Both the RSI at 68.38 and the MACD positive crossover reinforce bullish momentum, highlighting further upside potential for the stock.
Viva Energy completes Liberty Convenience acquisition, strengthening its national retail footprint. This strategic move expands the group’s distribution to over 900 additional service stations across Australia, consolidating its leadership in the retail fuels market.
Operational upgrades at the Geelong refinery boost compliance and domestic fuel supply capabilities. Recent investments in very low sulphur petrol production are aligned with stringent Australian fuel standards and support long-term competitive advantage.
Consensus among analysts turns more constructive, targeting a 30% price upside driven by fundamentals. Australian broker sentiment is buoyed by cost efficiencies, network expansion, and the full-franked dividend yield, making Viva Energy increasingly attractive for local income investors.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for Viva Energy stock?
Viva Energy currently pays a fully franked dividend of AUD 0.08 per share. The most recent interim dividend was paid in March 2025, and the current yield is 3.58%. The company’s dividend policy aims for regular shareholder returns, historically reflecting profitability and cash flow trends.
What is the forecast for Viva Energy stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price, projections are AUD 2.90 for the end of 2025, AUD 3.35 for the end of 2026, and AUD 4.46 for the end of 2027. These forecasts are supported by strong analyst consensus, a large distribution network, and ongoing strategic upgrades, all contributing to sector resilience.
Should I sell my Viva Energy shares?
With a solid asset base, positive technical signals, and an established dividend, Viva Energy appears well-positioned for medium- to long-term growth. The company’s dominant market presence and ongoing operational improvements suggest that holding may be appropriate. Investors should assess fundamentals and consider staying invested as the sector shows stability.
Are Viva Energy dividends eligible for Australian franking credits or subject to dividend withholding tax?
Viva Energy dividends are fully franked, allowing Australian resident investors to claim tax credits and minimise double taxation. There is no Australian withholding tax for local residents, enhancing the after-tax yield for domestic shareholders.
What is the latest dividend for Viva Energy stock?
Viva Energy currently pays a fully franked dividend of AUD 0.08 per share. The most recent interim dividend was paid in March 2025, and the current yield is 3.58%. The company’s dividend policy aims for regular shareholder returns, historically reflecting profitability and cash flow trends.
What is the forecast for Viva Energy stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price, projections are AUD 2.90 for the end of 2025, AUD 3.35 for the end of 2026, and AUD 4.46 for the end of 2027. These forecasts are supported by strong analyst consensus, a large distribution network, and ongoing strategic upgrades, all contributing to sector resilience.
Should I sell my Viva Energy shares?
With a solid asset base, positive technical signals, and an established dividend, Viva Energy appears well-positioned for medium- to long-term growth. The company’s dominant market presence and ongoing operational improvements suggest that holding may be appropriate. Investors should assess fundamentals and consider staying invested as the sector shows stability.
Are Viva Energy dividends eligible for Australian franking credits or subject to dividend withholding tax?
Viva Energy dividends are fully franked, allowing Australian resident investors to claim tax credits and minimise double taxation. There is no Australian withholding tax for local residents, enhancing the after-tax yield for domestic shareholders.
