Should You Buy Monero in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of the Monero cryptocurrency for over three years. Each month, hundreds of thousands of users in Australia rely on us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our insights are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical guidelines, HelloSafe has never purchased Monero nor received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

Monero in brief

How much does 1 Monero cost?

The price of Monero is on the rise this week. Currently, Monero trades at approximately $485.35 AUD, reflecting a 1.7% increase over the past 24 hours, but a modest 5% decrease compared to last week. Its market capitalisation stands at $8.97 billion AUD, with an average daily trading volume of about $111-145 million AUD over the last three months. Monero now ranks #23 among global cryptocurrencies, supported by a circulating supply of 18.45 million XMR and holding around 0.36% market dominance. As with most cryptocurrencies, price movements can be volatile—making Monero a dynamic option for risk-aware investors in the Australian market.

Our full review of the cryptocurrency Monero

Have Monero’s latest trends and the evolution of its price and fundamentals over the past three years signalled a turning point in the privacy coin sector? By aggregating on-chain metrics, technical signals, market data and competitive landscape analysis through our proprietary algorithms, our financial desk delivers a holistic view on Monero’s current positioning. So, why could Monero once again represent a strategic entry point in the privacy and digital asset ecosystem heading into 2025?

Performance Recente and Market Context

Recent Price Action

Monero (XMR) currently trades at $325.24 USD, positioning it as the leading privacy-centred cryptocurrency and ranking #23 by global market capitalisation ($6.02 billion). Over the last six months, XMR has posted an impressive rally with gains exceeding 150% in Q2 2025, moving from the $130-range to retest the mid-$300 zone. Daily trading volumes remain robust—ranging between $72M and $94M—indicating strong market engagement, even as the asset has pulled back 5% over the last week following a spike to $332.

From a medium-term perspective, Monero’s price remains approximately 40% below its all-time high of $542.33 (Jan 2018), suggesting considerable upside still exists relative to historical benchmarks.

Positive Catalysts and Recent Events

2025 has brought a wave of structural developments for Monero:

• The Monero development team’s launch of ‘Tari’, a new layer-1 blockchain, underscores ongoing innovation and broadens the ecosystem’s reach.*
• Increased mining activity and protocol privacy upgrades have fuelled both user demand and network security.
• Resurgent speculation regarding exchange relistings, as regulatory frameworks mature, has rekindled institutional and retail interest.

Notably, Monero has outperformed Bitcoin and the majority of the top-100 cryptocurrencies during recent macro turbulence, achieving weekly gains (notably +4.6% in May) that have further validated its “digital safe haven” narrative.

Macroeconomic and Sectoral Backdrop

The resurgence of privacy concerns globally—alongside growing awareness of the limits of surveillance-driven financial systems—bolsters XMR’s investment thesis. With cumulative capital flows seeking privacy-centric alternatives and the crypto sector experiencing renewed momentum post-regulatory roundtables, Monero’s distinct positioning within this environment is more compelling than ever.

Technical Analysis

Key Crypto Indicators

• RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14-day): 46.75. XMR’s RSI signals a neutral-to-slightly-oversold setup, leaving the asset well-poised for new accumulation phases.
• MACD: Recently showed a bearish crossover on the micro timeframe, but structural indicators continue to favour stabilization above its $317 support.
• Moving Averages: XMR reclaimed its 9-day moving average at $373.86 earlier in the rally, before the latest consolidation. The presence of a bullish reversal pattern, paired with stochastic oscillators at 50%, highlights an ongoing transition toward upward momentum.

Support and Resistance Levels

• Primary Support: $317—a key zone that’s been repeatedly validated by buyers and algorithmic traders.
• Next Resistance: $380 to $390. A decisive close above these levels would likely trigger a move toward higher price targets, with $427.31 being the next technical milestone.

Bullish trends are further corroborated by the widespread market anticipation of either a breakout past resistance or a technical retracement offering a fresh opportunity for positioning.

Short- and Mid-Term Structure

• Market structure strikes a balance between consolidation and latent bullish reversal.
• The 150% Q2 rally, combined with high trading volumes, signals robust conviction from both speculative and long-term market participants.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption and Ecosystem Growth

• Ongoing Adoption: Monero remains the top privacy coin by market cap, with consistent increases in network activity, daily active addresses, and wallet downloads.
• Ecosystem Expansion: The introduction of Tari and upcoming protocol upgrades demonstrate a vibrant development pipeline, further solidifying XMR’s technical moat. Community support remains among the most active in the sector, creating strong network effects.
• Strategic Partnerships: Increasing dialogue with decentralised platforms and potential exchange partners signals opportunities for improved liquidity and accessibility.

Attractive Valuation Metrics

• Market Cap: $6.02B—meaningfully below peak valuations, reflecting room for re-rating as capital rotates into the privacy sector.
• Fully Diluted Valuation: Remains consistent with XMR’s tail emission model, ensuring sustainable long-term network security.
• Volume and Liquidity: $72M-$94M in average daily volume signifies solid market depth and institutional attention, even amid regulatory crosswinds.

Structural Strengths

• Technological Leadership: Pioneering privacy mechanisms (RingCT, ring signatures, stealth addresses) grant Monero a unique competitive edge and consistent user trust.
• Decentralisation: Permissionless mining (RandomX) preserves broad-based participation while resisting centralisation.
• Differentiation: First-mover advantage reinforces Monero’s reputation as the privacy benchmark for digital assets.

Market Position and Dominance

• XMR’s ability to outperform major indices in periods of policy uncertainty highlights its resilience.
• Its market capitalisation and liquidity profile place it firmly within the “core asset” category for those seeking portfolio diversification across digital assets.

Positive Catalysts & Forward-Looking Prospects

• Protocol Upgrades: Each technical update (notably Tari’s integration) is met with renewed investor interest.
• Potential Regulatory Relief: As regulatory frameworks evolve and exchange relistings materialise, renewed capital inflows could further support price appreciation.
• Institutional Flows: Large players, often constrained on privacy coins, are showing signs of growing interest as privacy mandates re-accelerate in finance and commerce.
• Macro Triggers: Continued global demand for privacy-centred solutions and data sovereignty support long-term sectoral tailwinds.

Investment Strategies: Positioning Across Time Horizons

Short-Term Perspective (1–3 months)

• XMR’s current technical consolidation near robust support levels creates tactical opportunities for swing traders or investors seeking to capitalise on immediate market dislocation.
• High daily volumes and responsive price action enable nimble position management.
• Entry on pullbacks toward the $317–$320 region appears to offer a calculated risk-reward setup, especially as RSI and momentum are moderately reset.

Medium-Term Outlook (3–12 months)

• With the next major protocol update anticipated and exchange relisting discussions evolving, medium-term holders are positioned to gain from both technical reratings and fresh inflows.
• Historically, Monero’s up-cycles have been punctuated by pronounced rallies following structural upgrades, providing a template for potential outperformance in H2 2025.

Long-Term Thesis (1–5 years)

• The convergence of privacy demand, strengthening network effects, and tier-one cryptographic innovation firmly supports a long-term holding perspective.
• Continued leadership in privacy tech, paired with robust community stewardship, underpins the potential for persistent revaluation even amidst evolving regulatory challenges.

Monero Price Forecast Table

Is This the Right Time to Buy Monero?

Monero’s foundations—market leadership, best-in-class privacy technology, and active ecosystem growth—continue to justify a renewed focus from investors seeking both resilience and upside. Robust technicals coupled with a flurry of positive catalysts—protocol enhancements, institutional curiosity, and the possible return of exchange listings—arguably position XMR as one of the most agile vehicles for those anticipating a rotation toward privacy-centred digital assets.

The asset’s ability to rally 150% within a single quarter underscores its attractive risk-reward profile for dynamic allocation, while forward projections point toward additional significant upside. All core signals—fundamental, technical, and sectoral—suggest Monero could well enter a decisive new bullish phase over the coming cycles.

Important example

Monero remains a highly volatile digital asset offering excellent potential for dynamic investing, while requiring prudent risk management. Recent rapid advances highlight its capacity for strong upside moves, but shifts in macro conditions merit vigilant, selective exposure. Key technical levels to monitor are $317 as near-term support and $380–$390 as immediate resistance. The next scheduled protocol update in Q2 2025 could serve as a decisive catalyst for Monero’s future trend.

How to buy Monero?

It’s straightforward and secure to buy Monero (XMR) online in Australia through a regulated crypto platform. Investors typically choose between two main methods: spot buying (direct ownership of Monero in a wallet) or trading Monero via crypto CFDs (Contracts for Difference), which allows you to speculate on prices without actually holding the coins. Both options have clear advantages, depending on your risk appetite and goal. Below, you’ll find a full comparison of leading Australian platforms to help you find the option that best fits your needs.

Spot Buying Monero

Spot buying means purchasing Monero directly and holding the real coins in your private crypto wallet. This is favoured by investors who want true ownership and control of their XMR. Most Australian exchanges charge a flat commission per transaction—typically around 0.5% to 1%—plus a small fixed fee in AUD.

Example

Suppose Monero is trading at $495 AUD per coin (based on a conversion from ~$325.24 USD). With $1,000 AUD, you can buy about 2 XMR (=$1,000 ÷ $495), after allowing for a $5 AUD transaction fee.

Gain scenario: If Monero’s price rises by 10%, your coins are now worth $1,100 AUD. That’s a $100 AUD gross gain, representing +10% on your original investment.

Trading Monero via CFD

Trading XMR as a CFD means you don’t own the actual coins; instead, you open a position on Monero’s price with a broker. This allows for ‘going long’ (betting the price will rise) or ‘going short’ (betting it will fall), often with leverage. CFD brokers charge fees through a 'spread' (the difference between buy and sell prices) plus, if you keep your position overnight, a small daily holding cost.

Example

You open a CFD position on Monero with $1,000 AUD and use leverage of 5x. Your exposure to the market is now $5,000 AUD.

Gain scenario: If Monero rises by 8%, your leveraged position gains 8% x 5 = 40%. You make $400 AUD profit on your $1,000 AUD margin (excluding fees and spread).

Final Advice

Before you invest, always compare the fees, features, and conditions of each platform—this can have a real impact on your returns. Your choice between spot buying and CFD trading should depend on your risk preference, experience, and whether you want direct ownership of Monero or prefer flexible trading strategies. For more detail, check the comprehensive platform comparison further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Monero

The latest news about Monero

Monero has achieved a remarkable 150% rally in Q2 2025 driven by privacy upgrades and market activity. Over the past six months, Monero’s price has risen dramatically, underscoring renewed global interest in privacy-focused assets. This surge is attributed to the successful rollout of enhanced privacy upgrades, increased mining activity, and ongoing discussions about potential relistings on major exchanges. Australian investors, who have historically engaged with privacy coins despite fluctuating regulatory guidance, may benefit from the resulting uplift in Monero’s market profile, liquidity, and technical outlook, especially as local appetite for digital assets exhibiting strong privacy features remains robust.

Rising regulatory scrutiny internationally has spurred Australian interest in privacy coins like Monero as a hedge against increased surveillance. Recent reports indicate that governments worldwide, including the EU, are amplifying efforts to regulate or ban privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. In Australia, where the legal framework around crypto-assets continues to evolve, the trend of heightened scrutiny in other markets has paradoxically strengthened local demand for Monero. Australian market participants view XMR as a resilient store of value and a strategic portfolio diversifier amid tightening compliance requirements, helping to explain its relative outperformance and the sustained bullish market sentiment among local investors.

Technical analysis signals point to an imminent test of key resistance levels, supporting a constructive medium-term outlook. Monero’s price has recently rebounded off the critical $317 support level and has crossed above its 9-day moving average, with additional bullish patterns emerging. The RSI currently sits in a neutral zone, and stochastic indicators suggest further upside potential. While the MACD hints at near-term caution, analysts note a probable move towards the $380-390 resistance band if buying momentum holds. For Australian traders, these signals suggest a favorable window for entry or accumulation, particularly given active trading volumes and the neutral-to-bullish technical setup.

The strategic launch of Tari, Monero’s new layer-1 blockchain, has enhanced its innovation credentials and ecosystem potential. The Monero development team’s introduction of Tari as a parallel blockchain emphasizes the project’s commitment to continuous innovation and scalability. This expansion not only reinforces Monero’s position as a technology leader among privacy coins but also generates opportunities for interoperability with other crypto ecosystems. Australian blockchain start-ups and fintech operators may find in Tari a platform for building privacy-centric applications, thus amplifying the relevance of XMR in local digital finance initiatives.

Australian exchanges continue to list Monero, providing residents compliant, liquid access despite global regulatory headwinds. Unlike some jurisdictions facing privacy coin delistings, several major Australian cryptocurrency exchanges still offer Monero as a tradable asset as of June 2025. This reflects both the decentralized nature of the protocol and the adaptability of the Australian crypto sector to regulatory developments. As a result, local investors maintain practical access to XMR, with liquidity and price discovery largely unaffected by offshore restrictions, further securing Monero’s role in the regional portfolio landscape.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.