Should You Buy The Graph in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the performance of The Graph cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users across Australia trust us to analyse market trends and help identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased The Graph nor received compensation from any entities associated with its ecosystem.

The Graph in brief

How much does 1 The Graph cost?

The price of The Graph is up this week. GRT is currently trading at around A$0.14, showing a 24-hour gain of +3.58% but a 16.45% drop over the past week. Its market capitalisation stands at approximately A$1.38 billion, with an average daily trading volume of A$41–A$50 million in the past three months.

The Graph ranks 59th by market cap, with 9.85 billion GRT in circulation and a market dominance of 0.09% across the crypto sector.

Crypto prices can be volatile, so investors should keep an eye on market shifts and growth opportunities.

Our full opinion on the cryptocurrency The Graph

After analysing the latest trends of The Graph (GRT) and its trajectory over the past three years, our approach leverages a fusion of on-chain metrics, advanced technical signals, comprehensive market data, and a deep dive into the competitive landscape, all refined via proprietary modelling algorithms. This multi-source, algorithm-driven methodology offers a unique, data-rich perspective. So, why could The Graph once again become a strategic entry point into the Web3 data indexing ecosystem for 2025 and beyond?

Performance Review and Market Context

Recent Price Evolution

The Graph (GRT) has experienced considerable volatility in 2025: while its current price stands at $0.0918 USD as of 8 June 2025, this represents an impressive +121% over the last six months, yet a pronounced -68.27% drawdown year-on-year. Such large swings are not unusual for leading infrastructure tokens, especially given The Graph’s sensitivity to broader Web3 adoption cycles and speculative flows.

Last week witnessed a correction of -16.45%, yet daily volumes remain robust ($26.7–$32.3 million USD), suggesting a core of active traders and renewed investor interest. Notably, the token’s recent surge in Q1 was fuelled by fresh all-time highs in network activity—6.14 billion queries handled (+3.2% QoQ)—and the announcement of critical fee reductions, increasing accessibility for dApp developers.

Positive Events and Catalysts

• A record number of on-chain queries processed, reflecting rising demand for decentralised data solutions within Web3.
• Continued expansion to support over 70 blockchain networks, including Ethereum, Solana, and Polygon.
• Strategic integrations of AI modules into data analysis pipelines, positioning The Graph at the convergence of blockchain, analytics, and artificial intelligence.
• Major partnership announcements with leading DeFi and NFT projects indicate growing institutional and developer uptake.

Macro and Sectoral Tailwinds

The infrastructure stack for Web3 continues to expand, underpinned by secular adoption of decentralised applications (dApps), the tokenisation of real-world assets, and intensified focus on making on-chain data queryable at scale. The Graph’s unique value proposition—“Google for on-chain data”—makes it a central beneficiary of these trends. In the context of pro-innovation regulatory developments in Australia and other tech-forward jurisdictions, the outlook for permissionless data protocols remains highly constructive.

Technical Analysis

Key Crypto Indicators

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 38.68, GRT’s RSI is neutral, veering towards oversold territory, suggesting substantial room for a recovery rally as risky-asset sentiment improves.
• Moving Averages: Short-term (7–21 day) moving averages are showing signs of consolidation, while the longer-term (100–200 day) remain below current price action—a pattern often preceding renewed upward momentum.
• MACD: While the MACD has shown mixed structure, a flattening and potential bullish crossover is on watch.
• Key Supports/Resistances:
• Major support: $0.072 (yearly lows), a tested floor during previous sell-offs.
• Strong resistance: $0.34 (annual peak), a psychological and technical pivot.

Momentum and Structural Outlook

Current price structure, after a severe annual correction and pronounced short-term bounce, favours accumulation patterns at multi-month support. The confluence of on-chain accumulation signals with historically supportive volume zones suggests that the groundwork for a mid-cycle bullish reversal is in place. If risk appetite recovers and sector flows rotate back toward infrastructure protocols, GRT could quickly reclaim lost ground.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Partnerships, and Ecosystem Growth

• Network Growth: The Graph continues to beat historical records for query processing—6.14 billion in Q1 2025—a direct reflection of increased dApp development and blockchain interoperability demand.
• Strategic Partnerships: Collaboration with top-tier Web3 projects has expanded, validating The Graph’s role as an essential middleware solution.
• Technological Edge: The “Google of Web3” narrative is substantiated by The Graph’s GraphQL API integrations, AI-powered indexer enhancements, and its robust, decentralised protocol design.

Valuation and Relative Attractiveness

• Market Capitalisation: ~$910 million USD positions GRT comfortably within the top 60 crypto assets globally—a strong signal of critical mass and institutional awareness.
• Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): The inflation rate is managed (~3% annually), and the float remains consistent with on-chain participation in network security via staking.
• Liquidity: With daily volumes $26.7–$32.3 million USD and deep listings on top-tier exchanges, GRT’s liquidity profile inspires confidence for both retail and larger investors.

Structural Strengths

• Innovative Infrastructure: The Graph’s modular indexer architecture, support for 70+ chains, and developer-focused roadmap are key differentiators.
• Active Community: Performing as both a technical backbone and DAO-governed project, The Graph’s community-driven development increases resilience and alignment of incentives.
• Network Effects: As more dApps rely on indexed data, reinforcing flywheel effects create barriers to entry for competitors.

Dominance and Positioning

GRT remains one of the largest infrastructure protocol tokens by market cap and total value staked. The high proportion of privately held tokens, coupled with a growing base of public holders due to staking and governance incentives, suggests an evolving, decentralised holder profile.

Volume and Liquidity

• Consistently strong daily turnover, even in corrective phases, signals entrenched market presence and reflects confidence in the protocol’s future.
• High liquidity across major global platforms (Binance, Coinbase) facilitates flexible entry/exit and reduces slippage risk for larger allocators.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Upcoming Growth Drivers

• Protocol Upgrades: The next major network upgrade, forecast for Q3–Q4 2025, is expected to include enhanced cross-chain compatibility and optimised query pricing.
• AI Integrations: Continued rollout of machine learning analytics further solidifies The Graph’s role at the nexus of AI and blockchain.
• Institutional Involvement: Rumoured onboarding of leading blockchain infrastructure funds and increased staking by institutional validators.
• Global Regulatory Clarity: With clearer guidance in AU and select APAC markets, protocol-level tokens such as GRT are progressively viewed as compliant infrastructure layers, encouraging wider adoption.

Investment Strategies and Positioning

Short-Term (Next 6–12 Months)

• Tactical Entry: For active traders, entry on technical pullbacks towards $0.072–$0.085 (multi-month support) with tight risk management appears attractive, especially ahead of anticipated protocol upgrades.
• Catalyst Trading: Alpha could be captured ahead of confirmed partnership or technology rollouts, with increased volatility providing dynamic positioning opportunities.

Medium-Term (1–2 years)

• Accumulation on Dips: Given the macro adoption of Web3, GRT’s network effects, and the likelihood of cyclical sector rotations returning capital to core infrastructure tokens, gradual accumulation strategies seem well-supported.
• Staking Yield: Participating in staking could enhance risk-adjusted returns, especially as network activity and protocol rewards increase.

Long-Term (2–5 years)

• Structural Holds: For investors seeking exposure to the exponential growth of decentralised data economies, allocating to GRT as a core infrastructure token provides asymmetric upside.
• Growth Compounder: As the “Web3 Google,” The Graph’s entrenchment is likely to deepen alongside mass dApp adoption and cross-chain interoperability—implying potentially outsized long-term capital appreciation.

The Graph Price Forecast

Is Now the Right Time to Consider The Graph?

The Graph demonstrates a compelling blend of strong network utility, accelerating developer adoption, and positioning at the epicentre of Web3’s data infrastructure. With an ecosystem expanding across 70+ blockchains, real revenue generation, and a pipeline of protocol enhancements—including AI-powered analytics and broader multi-chain support—the fundamentals justify renewed interest. Orderbook depth, robust daily volumes, and an increasingly decentralised holder base minimise liquidity risk, while the project’s core narrative—a decentralised replacement for Google in the blockchain era—is finally being reflected in real-world usage and cashflow.

For investors seeking exposure to the foundational rails of Web3, GRT seems to represent an excellent opportunity. Positive price momentum, reinforced by resilient support levels and upcoming development catalysts, suggests that The Graph could well enter a new bullish phase. As always, high volatility implies the need for disciplined risk management, but the asymmetric risk/reward profile—along with key supports and a major protocol upgrade expected in late 2025—positions The Graph as a potentially strategic allocation for dynamic, informed portfolios.

The Graph remains a high-volatility cryptocurrency offering dynamic investment opportunities, yet requiring rigorous risk management. The recent acceleration in price demonstrates The Graph’s capacity for rapid, powerful moves, but evolving macro conditions require selectivity. Key technical levels to monitor are $0.072 as immediate support and $0.34 as a major resistance. The next protocol upgrade, scheduled for Q3–Q4 2025, could be a pivotal catalyst for The Graph’s future trajectory.

How to buy The Graph?

It is simple and secure for Australian investors to buy The Graph (GRT) cryptocurrency online through a regulated platform. You have two main methods to access The Graph: purchasing it directly on the spot market (spot purchase) or trading it via crypto CFDs (Contracts for Difference), which allow you to speculate on price changes without owning the underlying coin. Each option comes with its own advantages, risks, and fee structures. To help you make an informed choice, a detailed comparison of popular platforms is available further down this page.

Spot Purchase

When you buy The Graph via a spot transaction, you acquire the actual GRT tokens and hold them in your digital wallet or on the platform. This means you own real coins, with full access to deposit, withdraw, or use them as you wish. Spot transactions typically incur a fixed commission per trade, which in Australia is generally around 0.1% to 1%, plus a small withdrawal fee in AUD.

Example

Suppose The Graph is trading at $0.092 USD (approximately $0.14 AUD). With an investment of $1,000 AUD and allowing for about $5 AUD in transaction fees, you could buy around 7,110 GRT tokens.
✔️ Profit scenario:
If The Graph price rises by 10%, your holding is now worth $1,100 AUD.
Result: That’s a $100 gross gain, or +10% on your initial investment.

Trading via CFD

Trading The Graph via CFDs means you do not own the physical coins. Instead, you take a position on whether the GRT price will rise or fall, trading on margin. This method allows you to use leverage – amplifying both potential gains and losses. CFD brokers charge costs through the spread (difference between buy/sell price) and potentially overnight financing fees if you keep positions open across days.

Example

You open a CFD position on The Graph with $1,000 AUD and use 5x leverage. This gives you exposure to $5,000 AUD in the market.
✔️ Profit scenario:
If The Graph increases by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a $400 gain on your $1,000 AUD investment (excluding fees).

Final Advice

Before investing in The Graph, it is essential to compare the fees, regulatory status, and trading conditions of each platform to find the method that best fits your needs. Remember, spot investing offers real ownership, while CFD trading provides leverage but carries higher risk. Your choice should depend on your investment objectives and experience level. For a comprehensive comparison of recommended platforms, see the dedicated table further down the page.

Our 7 tips for buying The Graph

The latest news from The Graph

The Graph is available on all major Australian crypto exchanges, supporting wide local access and adoption. In the past week, leading Australian platforms such as Independent Reserve, CoinSpot, and Swyftx have actively listed GRT tokens with steady liquidity and compliance with local AML/CTF regulations. This ensures Australian investors benefit from easy fiat on/off-ramps and reassurance regarding regulatory alignment, a significant positive in the current landscape where ASIC (Australian Securities and Investments Commission) is increasing its scrutiny of digital asset platforms. The local accessibility both for trading and participation in network staking supports continued user growth and ecosystem engagement from the region.

The Graph reported a record 6.14 billion blockchain queries processed in Q1 2025, affirming network utility and scalability. This uptick (+3.2% quarter-over-quarter) cements The Graph’s position as a foundational infrastructure platform supporting the global and local Australian Web3 developer community. Multiple AU-based blockchain startups and DeFi projects—particularly those leveraging cross-chain data—are increasingly tapping into The Graph’s APIs, as evidenced by community showcases and meetups held recently in Melbourne and Sydney. Such usage growth and developer ecosystem engagement resonate positively with local stakeholders interested in robust data accessibility and network scalability.

Australian institutional and professional interest in The Graph is rising, bolstered by its expansion across 70+ blockchains and AI integration. Major Australian crypto-focused funds and tech accelerators have referenced GRT in recent whitepapers and portfolio reviews, highlighting the project’s multi-chain compatibility—a crucial advantage for the region’s diverse blockchain experimentation, including Ethereum Layer 2 and Solana initiatives widely piloted in Australia. The move toward AI-enhanced blockchain data analytics, now being trialed by local enterprise solution providers, directly leverages The Graph’s recent platform upgrades and aligns with Australia’s rapidly digitalizing economy.

The Graph’s resilient mid-term performance (+121% over six months) stands out despite broader market volatility and a recent local regulatory clampdown. In the last half-year, GRT has significantly outperformed the average altcoin, which has bolstered confidence among Australian crypto traders despite a challenging backdrop with increased regulatory pressure and complex tax guidance from the ATO. Recent analyst notes from top AU fintech media and research desks point to GRT’s “utility premium”: its indexer network rewards, staking options, and developer traction are driving use that helps counteract short-term price retracements amid global and regional uncertainty.

Ongoing community engagement in Australia, through hackathons and university partnerships, is fostering talent pipelines and decentralized governance participation. This week’s Web3 hackathon events, organized by several Australian universities in partnership with the local Graph Advocates, have produced notable developer submissions leveraging GRT subgraphs for real-world data feeds and DeFi analytics. These initiatives are building a growing cohort of Australian indexers and delegators who participate actively in network governance and protocol improvement proposals, reinforcing The Graph’s localization strategy and the prospects for longer-term Australian ecosystem growth.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.