Should You Buy Toncoin in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been closely monitoring the evolution of the Toncoin cryptocurrency for over three years. Each month, hundreds of thousands of users across Australia trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased Toncoin nor received compensation from entities related to its ecosystem.

Toncoin at a glance

How much does 1 Toncoin cost?

The price of Toncoin is on the rise this week. Currently, Toncoin is trading at approximately AUD 4.80, with a 24-hour gain of +1.6% and a weekly increase of around +2.2%. Its market capitalisation stands at about AUD 11.80 billion, with an average 3-month daily trading volume near AUD 248 million. Toncoin ranks 11th by market cap, with 2.47 billion TON in circulation, reflecting a market dominance of roughly 0.57%. While recent signs point to stabilised growth, investors should remain mindful of Toncoin’s inherent volatility and dynamic market potential.

Our complete review of the cryptocurrency Toncoin

Have the recent market shifts and on-chain signals for Toncoin (TON) marked a true turning point for this Layer-1 asset? Over the past three years, our proprietary algorithms have dissected TON’s trajectory in depth—drawing on a blend of technical indicators, blockchain flows, market sentiment, and competitive intelligence. So, why could Toncoin emerge once again in 2025 as a high-conviction entry point for the rapidly evolving Web3 and Telegram-integrated crypto ecosystem?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution of Toncoin: The 2024 Reset and New Positioning

Toncoin currently trades around $3.18-$3.20 USD as of June 2025, following an extended period of volatility across the Layer-1 universe. Notably, TON experienced an all-time high near $8.23 in June 2024 before undergoing a pronounced corrective phase—resulting in a drawdown exceeding 55% from its 2024 peak. While such price compression could ring alarm bells for newer entrants, seasoned crypto analysts will recognize the cyclical nature of market rotations, especially amid the tightening of macro conditions and sectoral capital flows.

Nevertheless, TON has demonstrated remarkable resilience; in the past 24 hours alone, the token gained between +1.06% and +2.63%. More importantly, since testing its yearly lows, a robust accumulation trend has been underway, coinciding with key ecosystem advancements and a clear uptick in activity metrics. The all-time high volatility now appears to have reset positioning and provided a solid base for renewed bullish momentum, with pricing consolidating tightly above the $3.20 level.

Positive Catalysts and Macro Backdrop

The broader backdrop for cryptocurrencies in mid-2025 remains constructive. Institutional allocation to digital assets in Australia and APAC is accelerating, spurred by regulatory clarity and the growing adoption of Web3 infrastructure. For TON specifically, several recent catalysts stand out:

• Strategic integration with Telegram as the exclusive Layer-1 for all Telegram mini-apps, cementing TON’s position in front of 950 million monthly active users.
• Explosive growth in Total Value Locked (TVL): From just $15 million to over $275 million in 2024—a more than 18x surge, providing tangible evidence of DeFi traction.
• Leadership overhaul and governance modernization: The arrival of Maximilian Crown (CEO) and Manuel Stotz (President) injects new capital markets expertise and US market reach, while the Society DAO initiative deepens TON’s decentralization profile.

Together, these factors create a context where Toncoin is not merely recovering, but potentially at the early stages of a breakout cycle.

Technical Analysis

Key Crypto Indicators

Our on-chain analysis and multi-timeframe algorithmic models surface several encouraging trends:

• RSI (14 days): Reads 51.2–62.6, placing TON in the neutral-but-leaning-bullish zone. This signals that sellers have been absorbed, and oversold conditions are fading as buyers reassert themselves.
• MACD: Currently between 0.011–0.117, well into a technical buy zone, aligning with increasing volume and firm buy-side momentum.
• Moving Averages:
• 20-day: $3.08 (price reclaimed short-term bullish footing).
• 50-day: $3.33 (TON now aiming to flip this into new support).
• 100/200-day: $3.40–$3.53 / $3.47 respectively—TON regaining proximity to longer-term trend lines after months below them.

Support, Resistance & Reversal Signals

• Principal Support: $3.20–$3.21, matching the lower Bollinger Band; this base has seen recurrent buying on dips and is structurally significant heading into 2025.
• Major Resistance: $3.50–$3.66, where liquidations and profit-taking clusters are concentrated. A weekly close above $3.66 would likely signal escape velocity for bulls.
• Momentum Shift: The break above $3.20 has triggered a notable resurgence in upward pressure, with both on-chain flows and CEX liquidity tilting positive. Order book depth on major exchanges supports the prospect of a short-term rally toward the $3.50–$4.00 area.

Short to Medium-Term Structure

Toncoin’s ability to base at a post-correction equilibrium—with RSI normalizing and MACD signaling fresh buying—suggests a market in consolidation and primed for trend reversal. The technical structure is thus favourable for nimble entrants, particularly if confirmation through volume and breakouts materializes in coming weeks.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Partnerships & Ecosystem Development

Toncoin’s unique value proposition is anchored in its seamless Web3 integration with Telegram—the world’s largest messaging and community platform outside the “Big Tech” clouds. Key strengths:

• 950m+ Telegram Users: Direct onboarding into TON mini-apps and payment rail.
• Rapidly Expanding DeFi Ecosystem: Protocols like DeDust, STON.fi, and Tonstakers are attracting meaningful TVL and bootstrapping liquidity.
• Major GameFi Entrants: Icons such as NotCoin and Hamster Kombat further diversify TON’s use cases beyond DeFi into highly viral tap-to-earn gaming.
• ERC-20 Interoperability: In active rollout, set to unlock cross-chain possibilities and substantial inflows from Ethereum-based capital pools in 2025.

Relative Valuation & Market Structure

• Circulating market cap: $7.83–$7.88bn, with a fully diluted valuation under $16.5bn—offering a significant “valuation gap” compared to established Layer-1s given TON’s user reach and growth rate.
• Trading Volumes: Sustained 24h trading between $147m–$199m, signaling elevated liquidity and deep market confidence even during price pullbacks.
• Dominance: TON ranks comfortably in the top Layer-1 protocols by market capitalisation and TVL acceleration within the Asia-Pacific corridor.

Volume, Liquidity and Market Position

• High daily turnover and wide exchange support reduce slippage and increase accessibility, even for institutional allocations.
• Sharp TVL growth (18x in twelve months) validates product-market fit and durable utility for staking, lending, and NFT collateralization.

Structural Advantages & Community

• Leadership Refresh: The appointment of Web3-native executives brings new strategic discipline.
• Society DAO Shift: Embeds decentralization at the governance level, which is increasingly prized by both retail and institutional investors.

Catalysts and Forward-Looking Drivers

Protocol Upgrades, Integrations & Network Effects

• Protocol Upgrades: Scheduled feature rollouts (ERC-20 compatibility, enhanced governance tools) could be catalysts for renewed adoption cycles.
• Partnership Expansions: Ongoing initiatives with leading DeFi, GameFi, and NFT projects within and beyond the Telegram ecosystem.
• Innovative Economic Model: With 50% of all Telegram ad revenues funneled to TON users and builders, recurring value streams are built directly into the token’s proposition.
• Geographic Expansion: Strategic focus on US, MENA, and APAC markets enables diversified growth channels and institutional onramps.

Regulatory & Institutional Tailwinds

• Clarity from regional regulators in Australia and Asia creates a regulated pathway for institutional TON participation.
• The growing appetite for compliant, high-functionality blockchain assets aligns with TON’s fundamentals, particularly due to its transparent proof-of-stake economy.

Investment Strategies by Horizon

Short-Term (<6 months)

• Opportunity to capture “bounce” plays from current consolidation, especially around the $3.20–$3.30 zone, with upside to $3.50–$4.00 as ecosystem newsflow accelerates.
• Tactical entries may be considered on technical pullbacks or prior to major protocol upgrades/integrations.

Medium-Term (6–24 months)

• Strong fundamentals justify renewed interest:
• Anticipated exponential user acquisition as ERC-20 bridge goes live and DeFi/NFT participation deepens.
• Increased TVL and volume likely to rerate valuations in context of sector peers.
• Ideal accumulation may occur in the $3.20–$3.50 assembly area or prior to/around major governance and product releases.

Long-Term (2–5 years+)

• Exposure to a vibrant Layer-1 platform uniquely positioned for mass adoption through messaging ubiquity.
• Participation in staking and DAO governance offers real yield potential, with upside as a core Web3 infrastructure play.
• Longer-term positioning appears compelling for believers in Telegram’s expansion as a super-app and the growing migration of mainstream activity onto Web3 rails.

Toncoin Price Projections (2025–2029)

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Toncoin?

Toncoin exemplifies a rare blend of deep utility, expansive network reach, and structural resilience in the modern crypto landscape. Its native integration with Telegram gives it access to a truly unparalleled user base, while recent upgrades—such as governance decentralization, protocol expansions, and breakthrough TVL growth—solidify its claim as one of the most promising Layer-1 opportunities for the coming cycle. With critical technical thresholds reset, on-chain flows robust, and a series of high-velocity partnerships in place, the setup for a new upward phase appears firmly in place.

Fundamentally sound, highly liquid, and now trading at a substantial discount to its prior highs, Toncoin’s case for renewed investor interest is well founded. For those seeking to engage an asset at the intersection of Web3 adoption, DeFi innovation, and mass consumer reach, TON may well be entering a phase of asymmetric risk-return.

Toncoin remains a high-volatility asset class offering outstanding opportunities for dynamic investment, but warrants risk management as part of any allocation strategy. The recent price acceleration attests to Toncoin’s ability to deliver swift and decisive moves, and the evolving macro context reinforces the need to remain selective. Key technical levels to monitor are $3.20–$3.21 as primary support and $3.50–$3.66 as the immediate upward hurdle. Upcoming protocol upgrades scheduled for Q3 2025 could very well be the next decisive catalyst for Toncoin’s trajectory.

How to buy Toncoin?

It is simple and secure to buy Toncoin (TON) online in Australia using a regulated crypto platform. You have two main ways to invest: spot purchase, where you actually own Toncoins stored in your wallet, or crypto CFD trading, which lets you speculate on TON’s price without holding the underlying asset. Each method suits different investor profiles in terms of risk and goals. To help you choose, see the detailed platform comparison further down this page.

Spot Purchase: Owning Real Toncoin

When you buy Toncoin “on the spot,” you become the direct owner of the cryptocurrency, which is stored securely in your account or personal wallet. This is suitable for those who want to hold TON for the long term. Typical fees include a fixed commission per transaction, generally around 0.1–1.0% depending on the platform, plus a small network fee.

Example: Spot Purchase

Suppose the current Toncoin price is $4.90 AUD. If you invest $1,000 AUD, you can buy about 203 TON (before fees). With an estimated transaction fee of $5 AUD, your total purchase nets you just under 203 TON.

✔️ Gain Scenario: If Toncoin’s price rises by 10%, your holding is now worth $1,100 AUD.
Result: +$100 gain (10% return on your investment).

Trading Toncoin via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading means you do not actually possess Toncoin. Instead, you open a position that tracks TON's price, allowing you to profit from both rising and falling markets. With CFDs, you can apply leverage (typically up to 5x for retail Australian traders), amplifying gains—and losses. Fees include a spread (the difference between the buy and sell price) and an overnight funding charge if you keep your position after market close.

Example: CFD Trading

You start a CFD position on Toncoin with $1,000 AUD and select 5x leverage:
- Your total exposure is $5,000 AUD in TON.
- If TON’s price increases by 8%, your profit is 8% × 5 = 40%, or +$400 AUD (excluding fees).

✔️ Gain Scenario: Toncoin rises by 8% → profit: $400 AUD on a $1,000 AUD margin deposit.

Final Advice

Before investing, always compare the fee structures, conditions, and security standards of each platform—this can have a real impact on your returns. The best choice depends on your investment objectives, your risk tolerance, and your experience with crypto markets. You will find a full comparison of major platforms offering Toncoin in Australia further below on this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Toncoin

The latest news about Toncoin

Toncoin has confirmed short-term bullish momentum, with price stabilising above $3.20 and positive technical signals. Over the past week, Toncoin’s price has consistently held the $3.18–$3.20 USD range, underpinned by a daily gain of up to 2.6% and a clear bullish crossover in the MACD indicator, accompanied by an RSI in neutral-to-positive territory. This technical recovery signals renewed buying demand and positions TON above its main support, raising expectations for a move towards the $3.50–$4.00 range. For Australian traders and investors, TON’s inclusion on major exchanges accessible locally continues to support liquid trading conditions, with significant volumes reinforcing its attractiveness in diversified crypto portfolios.

Toncoin’s ecosystem and DeFi activity have shown strong institutional strength, with the TVL multiplying 18-fold in 2024. Driven largely by Toncoin’s exclusive integration as the native blockchain for Telegram’s mini-apps, Total Value Locked (TVL) within the TON ecosystem has expanded from $15 million to $275 million within the year. This rapid DeFi growth is attributed to a surge of activity in projects such as DeDust and STON.fi, both of which are accessible from Australia and aligned with the region’s rising institutional DeFi participation. With Telegram’s user base exceeding 950 million globally—and a large, active Australian segment—the alignment of user adoption and ecosystem buildout positions TON as a leading Layer-1 for local DeFi and Web3 developers.

New governance milestones have been reached this week, with the launch of Society DAO to strengthen decentralised decision-making. The move towards a transparent, on-chain governance framework marks an important step for TON’s legitimacy and long-term sustainability. The introduction of Society DAO, which will oversee key protocol parameters and ecosystem funding, has been welcomed by several Australian crypto leaders as a model for responsible decentralised governance. This initiative decreases reliance on central entities and aligns TON’s expansion with forthcoming Australian regulatory trends that favour robust DAO structures and community-driven platforms.

Strategic focus on APAC expansion—including Australia—brings heightened opportunities for adoption and regulatory engagement. Toncoin’s Foundation has reiterated in recent days its commitment to priority expansion in APAC markets, specifically naming Australia alongside MENA and the US. This includes targeting new local partnerships, advancing ERC-20 compatibility for cross-chain deployment, and fostering dialogue with regional regulators. Industry commentary from Australian digital asset associations suggests this strategy could unlock greater banking collaboration and clarify TON’s compliance pathway under Australia’s evolving crypto regime, laying groundwork for potential mainstream integrations.

Telegram’s revenue-sharing via TON tokens offers a unique incentive for local content creators and advertisers, fostering an Australian Web3 economy. Telegram, directly integrated with TON, has rolled out monetisation features this week that allow Australian-based channels and mini-app builders to receive up to 50% of ad revenue in TON tokens. This model offers both a novel revenue stream for local creators and a direct channel for businesses to participate in the growing tokenised economy through familiar apps, supporting a new wave of Web3 adoption in Australia as regulatory signals remain constructive towards crypto-enabled business innovation.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.